# To Think or Not To Think, That is The Question for Large Reasoning Models in Theory of Mind Tasks

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.10625 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.10625/

## Key facts

- Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Reasoning benchmarks and evaluation, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning.
- Builds on 33 of its 35 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 11 Feb 2026.

## Placed in

- LLM reasoning / [Reasoning benchmarks and evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/lr/reasoning-benchmarks-and-evaluation/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 33)

- [Training Verifiers to Solve Math Word Problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.14168/) (2021)
- [Qwen3 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.09388/) (2025)
- [Measuring Massive Multitask Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.03300/) (2020)
- [DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.12948/) (2025)
- [Measuring Mathematical Problem Solving With the MATH Dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.03874/) (2021)
- [Program Synthesis with Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.07732/) (2021)
- [SWE-bench: Can Language Models Resolve Real-World GitHub Issues?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.06770/) (2023)
- [MathVista: Evaluating Mathematical Reasoning of Foundation Models in Visual Contexts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.02255/) (2023)
- [ChartQA: A Benchmark for Question Answering about Charts with Visual and Logical Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.10244/) (2022)
- [Mind2Web: Towards a Generalist Agent for the Web](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.06070/) (2023)
- [ALFWorld: Aligning Text and Embodied Environments for Interactive Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.03768/) (2020)
- [Group Sequence Policy Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.18071/) (2025)
- [Stop Overthinking: A Survey on Efficient Reasoning for Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.16419/) (2025)
- [ProofWriter: Generating Implications, Proofs, and Abductive Statements over Natural Language](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.13048/) (2020)
- [Reinforcement Learning for Reasoning in Large Language Models with One Training Example](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.20571/) (2025)
- [FOLIO: Natural Language Reasoning with First-Order Logic](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.00840/) (2022)
- [Understanding Social Reasoning in Language Models with Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.15448/) (2023)
- [FANToM: A Benchmark for Stress-testing Machine Theory of Mind in Interactions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.15421/) (2023)
- [CLUTRR: A Diagnostic Benchmark for Inductive Reasoning from Text](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.06177/) (2019)
- [Think Twice: Perspective-Taking Improves Large Language Models' Theory-of-Mind Capabilities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.10227/) (2023)
- [How FaR Are Large Language Models From Agents with Theory-of-Mind?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.03051/) (2023)
- [Metacognitive Prompting Improves Understanding in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.05342/) (2023)
- [OpenToM: A Comprehensive Benchmark for Evaluating Theory-of-Mind Reasoning Capabilities of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.06044/) (2024)
- [NegotiationToM: A Benchmark for Stress-testing Machine Theory of Mind on Negotiation Surrounding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.13627/) (2024)
- [Explore Theory of Mind: Program-guided adversarial data generation for theory of mind reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.12175/) (2024)
- [AlphaOne: Reasoning Models Thinking Slow and Fast at Test Time](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.24863/) (2025)
- [Theory of Mind in Large Language Models: Assessment and Enhancement](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.00026/) (2025)
- [ToMATO: Verbalizing the Mental States of Role-Playing LLMs for Benchmarking Theory of Mind](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.08838/) (2025)
- [Reasoning on a Spectrum: Aligning LLMs to System 1 and System 2 Thinking](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.12470/) (2025)
- [A Systematic Review on the Evaluation of Large Language Models in Theory of Mind Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.08796/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 2 of 2)

- [The Cognitive Penalty: Ablating System 1 and System 2 Reasoning in Edge-Native SLMs for Decentralized Consensus](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.16913/) (2026)
- [Sensitivity or Criterion? Measuring and Moving When Language Models Act](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.15415/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Theory of Mind (ToM) assesses whether models can infer hidden mental states such as beliefs, desires, and intentions, which is essential for natural social interaction. Although recent progress in Large Reasoning Models (LRMs) has boosted step-by-step inference in mathematics and coding, it is still underexplored whether this benefit transfers to socio-cognitive skills. We present a systematic study of nine advanced Large Language Models (LLMs), comparing reasoning models with non-reasoning models on three representative ToM benchmarks. The results show that reasoning models do not consistently outperform non-reasoning models and sometimes perform worse. A fine-grained analysis reveals three insights. First, slow thinking collapses: accuracy significantly drops as responses grow longer, and larger reasoning budgets hurt performance. Second, moderate and adaptive reasoning benefits performance: constraining reasoning length mitigates failure, while distinct success patterns demonstrate the necessity of dynamic adaptation. Third, option matching shortcut: when multiple choice options are removed, reasoning models improve markedly, indicating reliance on option matching rather than genuine deduction. We also design two intervention approaches: Slow-to-Fast (S2F) adaptive reasoning and Think-to-Match (T2M) shortcut prevention to further verify and mitigate the problems. With all results, our study highlights the advancement of LRMs in formal reasoning (e.g., math, code) cannot be fully transferred to ToM, a typical task in social reasoning. We conclude that achieving robust ToM requires developing unique capabilities beyond existing reasoning methods.
