# Dissecting Performative Prediction: A Comprehensive Survey

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.10176 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.10176/

## Key facts

- Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 54 of its 73 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 10 Feb 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 54)

- [Explaining and Harnessing Adversarial Examples](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6572/) (2014)
- [Towards Deep Learning Models Resistant to Adversarial Attacks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.06083/) (2017)
- [Intriguing properties of neural networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1312.6199/) (2013)
- [DeepFool: a simple and accurate method to fool deep neural networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1511.04599/) (2015)
- [Can Decentralized Algorithms Outperform Centralized Algorithms? A Case Study for Decentralized Parallel Stochastic Gradient Descent](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.09056/) (2017)
- [Performative Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.06673/) (2020)
- [Strategic Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.06980/) (2015)
- [Algorithmic Recourse: from Counterfactual Explanations to Interventions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.06278/) (2020)
- [Delayed Impact of Fair Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.04383/) (2018)
- [Outside the Echo Chamber: Optimizing the Performative Risk](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.08570/) (2021)
- [Stochastic Optimization for Performative Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.06887/) (2020)
- [Performative Prediction in a Stateful World](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.03885/) (2020)
- [Outcome Indistinguishability](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.13426/) (2020)
- [Omnipredictors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.05389/) (2021)
- [How to Learn when Data Reacts to Your Model: Performative Gradient Descent](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.07698/) (2021)
- [Strategic Classification in the Dark](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.11592/) (2021)
- [Stochastic optimization with decision-dependent distributions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.11173/) (2020)
- [Loss Minimization through the Lens of Outcome Indistinguishability](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.08649/) (2022)
- [Performative Prediction: Past and Future](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.16608/) (2023)
- [Multiplayer Performative Prediction: Learning in Decision-Dependent Games](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.03398/) (2022)
- [Regret Minimization with Performative Feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.00628/) (2022)
- [State Dependent Performative Prediction with Stochastic Approximation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.00800/) (2021)
- [Anticipating Performativity by Predicting from Predictions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.07331/) (2022)
- [Difficult Lessons on Social Prediction from Wisconsin Public Schools](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.06205/) (2023)
- [Performative Prediction with Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.06879/) (2023)
- [Multi-agent Performative Prediction: From Global Stability and Optimality to Chaos](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.10483/) (2022)
- [Making Decisions under Outcome Performativity](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.01745/) (2022)
- [Decision-Dependent Risk Minimization in Geometrically Decaying Dynamic Environments](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.08281/) (2022)
- [Algorithmic Collective Action in Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.04262/) (2023)
- [How to Learn when Data Gradually Reacts to Your Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.07042/) (2021)

## Built on by (most cited first, 2 of 2)

- [Partially Performative Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.07890/) (2026)
- [Retraining Seeks Stable Signals](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.15623/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

The field of performative prediction had its beginnings in 2020 with the seminal paper "Performative Prediction" by Perdomo et al., which established a novel machine learning setup where the deployment of a predictive model causes a distribution shift in the environment, which in turn causes a mismatch between the distribution expected by the predictive model and the real distribution. This shift is defined by a so-called distribution map. In the half-decade since, a literature has emerged which has, among other things, introduced new solution concepts to the original setup, extended the setup, offered new theoretical analyses, and examined the intersection of performative prediction and other established fields. In this survey, we first lay out the performative prediction setting and explain the different optimization targets: performative stability and performative optimality. We introduce a new way of classifying different performative prediction settings, based on how much information is available about the distribution map. We survey existing implementations of distribution maps and existing methods to address the problem of performative prediction, while examining different ways to categorize them. Finally, we point out known and previously unknown connections that can be drawn to other fields, in the hopes of stimulating future research.