# Causal Multi-Task Demand Learning

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.09969 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.09969/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 6 of its 33 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 10 Feb 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 6 of 6)

- [Sentence-BERT: Sentence Embeddings using Siamese BERT-Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.10084/) (2019)
- [Model-Agnostic Meta-Learning for Fast Adaptation of Deep Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.03400/) (2017)
- [Meta-Learning in Neural Networks: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.05439/) (2020)
- [Estimation and Inference of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects using Random Forests](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1510.04342/) (2015)
- [Quasi-Oracle Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1712.04912/) (2017)
- [Recursive Partitioning for Heterogeneous Causal Effects](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1504.01132/) (2015)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We study a canonical multi-task demand-learning problem motivated by retail pricing, where a firm seeks to estimate heterogeneous linear price-response functions across multiple decision contexts. Each context is described by rich covariates but exhibits limited price variation, motivating transfer learning across tasks. A central challenge in leveraging cross-task transfer is endogeneity: prices may be arbitrarily correlated with unobserved task-level demand determinants across tasks. We propose a new meta-learning framework that identifies the conditional mean of task-specific causal demand parameters given a subset of task-specific observables despite such confounding, assuming that each task contains at least two distinct locally exogenous price points. This subset is carefully designed to include all of the prices to address cross-task confounding, while masking two demand outcomes that provide randomized supervision to address identifiability issues arising from the inclusion of all prices. We show that this information design is maximally uniformly valid, in that any refinement of the conditioning set that reveals withheld-outcome information is not guaranteed to identify the conditional mean causal target. We validate our method on real and synthetic data, demonstrating improved recovery of demand responses relative to standard transfer-learning baselines.