# PieArena: Ranking and Profiling Language Agents in Realistic Negotiation Scenarios

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.05302 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.05302/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Social simulation and multi-agent debate, one of 16 directions in LLM agents and tool use.
- Builds on 15 of its 37 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 5 Feb 2026.

## Placed in

- LLM agents and tool use / [Social simulation and multi-agent debate](https://mlsanity.com/agents/social-simulation-and-multi-agent-debate/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 15 of 15)

- [ReAct: Synergizing Reasoning and Acting in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.03629/) (2022)
- [Reflexion: Language Agents with Verbal Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.11366/) (2023)
- [Deal or No Deal? End-to-End Learning for Negotiation Dialogues](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.05125/) (2017)
- [Improving Language Model Negotiation with Self-Play and In-Context Learning from AI Feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.10142/) (2023)
- [Decoupling Strategy and Generation in Negotiation Dialogues](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1808.09637/) (2018)
- [How Well Can LLMs Negotiate? NegotiationArena Platform and Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.05863/) (2024)
- [CaSiNo: A Corpus of Campsite Negotiation Dialogues for Automatic Negotiation Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.15721/) (2021)
- [Evaluating Language Model Agency through Negotiations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.04536/) (2024)
- [Measuring Bargaining Abilities of LLMs: A Benchmark and A Buyer-Enhancement Method](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.15813/) (2024)
- [Large Language Model Psychometrics: A Systematic Review of Evaluation, Validation, and Enhancement](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.08245/) (2025)
- [Measuring Agents in Production](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.04123/) (2025)
- [Are LLMs Effective Negotiators? Systematic Evaluation of the Multifaceted Capabilities of LLMs in Negotiation Dialogues](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.13550/) (2024)
- [Generalized Bradley-Terry Models for Score Estimation from Paired Comparisons](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.08644/) (2023)
- [AgreeMate: Teaching LLMs to Haggle](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.18690/) (2024)
- [An Application of Large Language Models to Coding Negotiation Transcripts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.21037/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [From Passive Delegates to Strategic Negotiators: Reinforcing Social Reasoning in Small Language Models with SocialRL](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.13787/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We present an in-depth evaluation of LLMs' ability to negotiate, a central business task requiring strategic reasoning, theory of mind, and economic value creation. To do so, we introduce PieArena, a large-scale negotiation benchmark grounded in multi-agent interactions over realistic scenarios adapted from MBA negotiation courses at an elite business school. We evaluate language agents across three pairing regimes: mirror-play, cross-play, and human-LM play. We develop a ranking model for continuous negotiation payoffs that yields order-invariant, uncertainty-quantified leaderboards while correcting for systematic experimental asymmetries. We further study the effects of joint-intentionality agentic scaffolding and find asymmetric gains, with large improvements for mid- and lower-tier LMs and diminishing returns for frontier LMs. As calibration anchors, we collect human-human and human-LM negotiation data from trained business school students, finding that a representative frontier language agent (GPT-5) matches or exceeds this human baseline in our evaluation settings. Beyond deal outcomes, PieArena provides a multi-dimensional behavioral profile that reveals cross-model heterogeneity in instruction compliance, computation accuracy, as well as judge-assessed deception and reputation, illustrating the value of evaluation beyond outcome-only leaderboards.
