# Attack Selection Reduces Safety in Concentrated AI Control Settings against Trusted Monitoring

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.04930 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.04930/

## Key facts

- Cited by 6 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Prompt injection and agent security, one of 12 directions in LLM safety and security.
- Builds on 13 of its 33 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 4 Feb 2026.

## Placed in

- LLM safety and security / [Prompt injection and agent security](https://mlsanity.com/safety/prompt-injection-and-agent-security/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 13 of 13)

- [Measuring Coding Challenge Competence With APPS](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.09938/) (2021)
- [BigCodeBench: Benchmarking Code Generation with Diverse Function Calls and Complex Instructions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.15877/) (2024)
- [GEPA: Reflective Prompt Evolution Can Outperform Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.19457/) (2025)
- [AI Control: Improving Safety Despite Intentional Subversion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.06942/) (2023)
- [Measuring AI Ability to Complete Long Software Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.14499/) (2025)
- [AI Sandbagging: Language Models can Strategically Underperform on Evaluations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.07358/) (2024)
- [SHADE-Arena: Evaluating Sabotage and Monitoring in LLM Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.15740/) (2025)
- [CoT Red-Handed: Stress Testing Chain-of-Thought Monitoring](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.23575/) (2025)
- [Games for AI Control: Models of Safety Evaluations of AI Deployment Protocols](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.07985/) (2024)
- [Adaptive Deployment of Untrusted LLMs Reduces Distributed Threats](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.17693/) (2024)
- [Adaptive Attacks on Trusted Monitors Subvert AI Control Protocols](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.09462/) (2025)
- [How does information access affect LLM monitors' ability to detect sabotage?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.21112/) (2026)
- [Optimizing AI Agent Attacks With Synthetic Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.02823/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 6 of 6)

- [Distributed Attacks in Persistent-State AI Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.02514/) (2026)
- [CIAware-Bench: Benchmarking Control Intervention Awareness Across Frontier LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.11063/) (2026)
- [Attack Selection in Agentic AI Control Evaluations Meaningfully Decreases Safety](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.06529/) (2026)
- [Calibration-Family Overfit: Why Trusted Sabotage Monitors Don't Transfer Across Lineages](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.06596/) (2026)
- [Honeypot Protocol](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.13301/) (2026)
- [Bounded Sovereignty and the Control Tax: Pricing AI Oversight When the Deployer Does Not Own the Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.19216/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Future AI deployments will likely be monitored for malicious behaviour. The ability of these AIs to subvert monitors by adversarially selecting against them - attack selection - is particularly concerning. To study this, we let a red team create attack policies that attempt to insert attacks into code without being caught by a monitor in the concentrated BigCodeBench backdooring setting. We decompose attack selection into two problems: mapping attacks to a quality score and mapping quality scores to submission probabilities. We frame attack selection as a classification problem and show that safety is significantly more sensitive to FPR than TPR. We find that prompting the attacker model to reason about the monitor while being cautious with attack selection reduces safety from a baseline of 99% to 59% at 0.5% auditing budget, emphasizing that eliciting attack selection capabilities of models is vital to avoid overly optimistic safety scores in control evaluations.
