# Adaptive Evidence Weighting for Audio-Spatiotemporal Fusion

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.03817 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.03817/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 10 of its 29 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 3 Feb 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 10 of 10)

- [Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02142/) (2015)
- [A Baseline for Detecting Misclassified and Out-of-Distribution Examples in Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1610.02136/) (2016)
- [What Uncertainties Do We Need in Bayesian Deep Learning for Computer Vision?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.04977/) (2017)
- [Selective Classification for Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.08500/) (2017)
- [BEATs: Audio Pre-Training with Acoustic Tokenizers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.09058/) (2022)
- [AVES: Animal Vocalization Encoder based on Self-Supervision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.14493/) (2022)
- [Global birdsong embeddings enable superior transfer learning for bioacoustic classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.06292/) (2023)
- [Perch 2.0: The Bittern Lesson for Bioacoustics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.04665/) (2025)
- [Learning to detect an animal sound from five examples](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.13210/) (2023)
- [LEAN: Light and Efficient Audio Classification Network](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.12712/) (2023)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Many machine learning systems have access to multiple sources of evidence for the same prediction target, yet these sources often differ in reliability and informativeness across inputs. In bioacoustic classification, species identity may be inferred both from the acoustic signal and from spatiotemporal context such as location and season; while Bayesian inference motivates multiplicative evidence combination, in practice we typically only have access to discriminative predictors rather than calibrated generative models. We introduce Fusion under INdependent Conditional Hypotheses (FINCH), an adaptive log-linear evidence fusion framework that integrates a pre-trained audio classifier with a structured spatiotemporal predictor. FINCH learns a per-sample gating function that estimates the reliability of contextual information from uncertainty and informativeness statistics. The resulting fusion family contains the audio-only classifier as a special case and explicitly bounds the influence of contextual evidence, yielding a risk-contained hypothesis class with an interpretable audio-only fallback. Across benchmarks, FINCH consistently outperforms fixed-weight fusion and audio-only baselines, improving robustness and error trade-offs even when contextual information is weak in isolation. We achieve state-of-the-art performance on CBI and competitive or improved performance on several subsets of BirdSet using a lightweight, interpretable, evidence-based approach. Code is available: texttthrefhttps://anonymous.4open.science/r/birdnoise-85CD/README.mdanonymous-repository