# FIRE-Bench: Evaluating AI Agents on the Rediscovery of Scientific Insights

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.02905 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.02905/

## Key facts

- Cited by 16 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Web, search, and research agents, one of 16 directions in LLM agents and tool use.
- Builds on 71 of its 92 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 2 Feb 2026.

## Placed in

- LLM agents and tool use / [Web, search, and research agents](https://mlsanity.com/agents/web-search-and-research-agents/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 71)

- [Judging LLM-as-a-Judge with MT-Bench and Chatbot Arena](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.05685/) (2023)
- [Lost in the Middle: How Language Models Use Long Contexts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.03172/) (2023)
- [Evaluating Object Hallucination in Large Vision-Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.10355/) (2023)
- [MathVista: Evaluating Mathematical Reasoning of Foundation Models in Visual Contexts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.02255/) (2023)
- [The AI Scientist: Towards Fully Automated Open-Ended Scientific Discovery](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.06292/) (2024)
- [Large Language Models Cannot Self-Correct Reasoning Yet](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.01798/) (2023)
- [OpenHands: An Open Platform for AI Software Developers as Generalist Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.16741/) (2024)
- [Can LLMs Express Their Uncertainty? An Empirical Evaluation of Confidence Elicitation in LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.13063/) (2023)
- [Quantifying Language Models' Sensitivity to Spurious Features in Prompt Design or: How I learned to start worrying about prompt formatting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.11324/) (2023)
- [ChemCrow: Augmenting large-language models with chemistry tools](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.05376/) (2023)
- [HallusionBench: An Advanced Diagnostic Suite for Entangled Language Hallucination and Visual Illusion in Large Vision-Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.14566/) (2023)
- [Executable Code Actions Elicit Better LLM Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.01030/) (2024)
- [Large Language Models Are Not Robust Multiple Choice Selectors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.03882/) (2023)
- [MLE-bench: Evaluating Machine Learning Agents on Machine Learning Engineering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.07095/) (2024)
- [Agent Laboratory: Using LLM Agents as Research Assistants](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.04227/) (2025)
- [The AI Scientist-v2: Workshop-Level Automated Scientific Discovery via Agentic Tree Search](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.08066/) (2025)
- [Reasoning Models Don't Always Say What They Think](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.05410/) (2025)
- [MLAgentBench: Evaluating Language Agents on Machine Learning Experimentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.03302/) (2023)
- [Can LLMs Generate Novel Research Ideas? A Large-Scale Human Study with 100+ NLP Researchers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.04109/) (2024)
- [PaperBench: Evaluating AI's Ability to Replicate AI Research](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.01848/) (2025)
- [Language Models Represent Space and Time](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.02207/) (2023)
- [How Language Model Hallucinations Can Snowball](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.13534/) (2023)
- [DeepResearcher: Scaling Deep Research via Reinforcement Learning in Real-world Environments](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.03160/) (2025)
- [To CoT or not to CoT? Chain-of-thought helps mainly on math and symbolic reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.12183/) (2024)
- [DeepResearch Bench: A Comprehensive Benchmark for Deep Research Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.11763/) (2025)
- [ScienceAgentBench: Toward Rigorous Assessment of Language Agents for Data-Driven Scientific Discovery](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.05080/) (2024)
- [Chain-of-Thought Reasoning Without Prompting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.10200/) (2024)
- [ResearchAgent: Iterative Research Idea Generation over Scientific Literature with Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.07738/) (2024)
- [Bias Runs Deep: Implicit Reasoning Biases in Persona-Assigned LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.04892/) (2023)
- [SciCode: A Research Coding Benchmark Curated by Scientists](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.13168/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 16 of 16)

- [MLS-Bench: A Holistic and Rigorous Assessment of AI Systems on Building Better AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.08678/) (2026)
- [ReproRepo: Scaling Reproducibility Audits with GitHub Repository Issues](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.18237/) (2026)
- [ResearchArena: Evaluating Sabotage and Monitoring in Automated AI R&D](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.19321/) (2026)
- [HypoEvolve: Genetic Algorithms Enable Multi-Agent LLMs to Discover Scientific Hypotheses](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.15938/) (2026)
- [BrainPilot: Automating Brain Discovery with Agentic Research](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.15079/) (2026)
- [TruthInsightBench: An Evidence-Grounded Benchmark for Automated Evaluation of Open-Ended Scientific Discovery Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.05079/) (2026)
- [Scores Alone Do Not Prove Discovery: The Discovery Certification Protocol for Auditing AI Research Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.09219/) (2026)
- [SCIRIGOR:Evaluating Open-Ended Scientific Analysis Beyond Final Scores](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.06192/) (2026)
- [PrimeScientist: Strategic Allocation of Research Effort in Autonomous Research](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.17846/) (2026)
- [WhatWorkedBench: Benchmarking Experimental Understanding in AI Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.27490/) (2026)
- [RECLAIM: Can Agents Reproduce the Claims of Machine Learning Papers?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.28850/) (2026)
- [CompMat-Bench: Benchmarking AI Agents for Computational Materials Science](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.00636/) (2026)
- [BioStudyBench: Evaluating Agents on Post-Cutoff Biomedical Studies](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.07614/) (2026)
- [OpenProblemBench: Benchmarking AI on Open Problems in the Foundational Theoretical Sciences](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.11118/) (2026)
- [How Is Automated Research Evaluated? A Survey of Benchmarks and Evaluation Practices](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.11877/) (2026)
- [ResearchFlow-Eval: Tracing the Execution Gap in End-to-End Multi-Claim Autoresearch](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.18088/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Autonomous agents powered by large language models (LLMs) promise to accelerate scientific discovery end-to-end, but rigorously evaluating their capacity for verifiable discovery remains a central challenge. Existing benchmarks face a trade-off: they either heavily rely on LLM-as-judge evaluations of automatically generated research outputs or optimize convenient yet isolated performance metrics that provide coarse proxies for scientific insight. To address this gap, we introduce FIRE-Bench (Full-cycle Insight Rediscovery Evaluation), a benchmark that evaluates agents through the rediscovery of established findings from recent, high-impact machine learning research. Agents are given only a high-level research question extracted from a published, verified study and must autonomously explore ideas, design experiments, implement code, execute their plans, and derive conclusions supported by empirical evidence. We evaluate a range of state-of-the-art agents with frontier LLMs backbones like gpt-5 on FIRE-Bench. Our results show that full-cycle scientific research remains challenging for current agent systems: even the strongest agents achieve limited rediscovery success (<50 F1), exhibit high variance across runs, and display recurring failure modes in experimental design, execution, and evidence-based reasoning. FIRE-Bench provides a rigorous and diagnostic framework for measuring progress toward reliable agent-driven scientific discovery.
