# SAGE: Accelerating Vision-Language Models via Entropy-Guided Adaptive Speculative Decoding

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.00523 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.00523/

## Key facts

- Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Visual token pruning and efficiency, one of 16 directions in Multimodal LLMs / vision-language models.
- Builds on 27 of its 31 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 31 Jan 2026.

## Placed in

- Multimodal LLMs / vision-language models / [Visual token pruning and efficiency](https://mlsanity.com/mllm/visual-token-pruning-and-efficiency/)
- Efficient LLM inference and serving / [Fast autoregressive visual generation](https://mlsanity.com/inference/fast-autoregressive-visual-generation/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 27 of 27)

- [BLIP-2: Bootstrapping Language-Image Pre-training with Frozen Image Encoders and Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.12597/) (2023)
- [Qwen2.5-VL Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.13923/) (2025)
- [On Calibration of Modern Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.04599/) (2017)
- [The Curious Case of Neural Text Degeneration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.09751/) (2019)
- [Qwen3-VL Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.21631/) (2025)
- [LLaVA-OneVision: Easy Visual Task Transfer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.03326/) (2024)
- [Towards VQA Models That Can Read](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.08920/) (2019)
- [Fast Inference from Transformers via Speculative Decoding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.17192/) (2022)
- [ChartQA: A Benchmark for Question Answering about Charts with Visual and Logical Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.10244/) (2022)
- [Video-LLaVA: Learning United Visual Representation by Alignment Before Projection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.10122/) (2023)
- [MVBench: A Comprehensive Multi-modal Video Understanding Benchmark](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.17005/) (2023)
- [SEED-Bench: Benchmarking Multimodal LLMs with Generative Comprehension](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.16125/) (2023)
- [Medusa: Simple LLM Inference Acceleration Framework with Multiple Decoding Heads](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.10774/) (2024)
- [Vision-Language Models for Vision Tasks: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.00685/) (2023)
- [Semantic Uncertainty: Linguistic Invariances for Uncertainty Estimation in Natural Language Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.09664/) (2023)
- [LongVideoBench: A Benchmark for Long-context Interleaved Video-Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.15754/) (2024)
- [EAGLE: Speculative Sampling Requires Rethinking Feature Uncertainty](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.15077/) (2024)
- [EAGLE-2: Faster Inference of Language Models with Dynamic Draft Trees](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.16858/) (2024)
- [SpecInfer: Accelerating Generative Large Language Model Serving with Tree-based Speculative Inference and Verification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.09781/) (2023)
- [Confident Adaptive Language Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.07061/) (2022)
- [Speculative Decoding: Exploiting Speculative Execution for Accelerating Seq2seq Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.16487/) (2022)
- [Speculative Decoding with Big Little Decoder](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.07863/) (2023)
- [SpecTr: Fast Speculative Decoding via Optimal Transport](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.15141/) (2023)
- [Fit and Prune: Fast and Training-free Visual Token Pruning for Multi-modal Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.10197/) (2024)
- [FastVLM: Efficient Vision Encoding for Vision Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.13303/) (2024)
- [SpecVLM: Enhancing Speculative Decoding of Video LLMs via Verifier-Guided Token Pruning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.16201/) (2025)
- [Robust Machine Unlearning for Quantized Neural Networks via Adaptive Gradient Reweighting with Similar Labels](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.13917/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 4 of 4)

- [Does Compression Preserve Uncertainty? A Unified Benchmark for Quantized and Sparse LLMs via Conformal Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.01850/) (2026)
- [Is Multimodal Speculative Decoding Ready for Diffusion-Based Parallel Drafting? A Survey and Empirical Diagnosis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.20743/) (2026)
- [Recovering Off-Policy Supervision for Speculative Decoding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.38795/) (2026)
- [SP2ec: Adaptive Self-Speculative Decoding for Vision-Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.18735/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Speculative decoding has emerged as a promising approach to accelerate inference in vision-language models (VLMs) by enabling parallel verification of multiple draft tokens. However, existing methods rely on static tree structures that remain fixed throughout the decoding process, failing to adapt to the varying prediction difficulty across generation steps. This leads to suboptimal acceptance lengths and limited speedup. In this paper, we propose SAGE, a novel framework that dynamically adjusts the speculation tree structure based on real-time prediction uncertainty. Our key insight is that output entropy serves as a natural confidence indicator with strong temporal correlation across decoding steps. SAGE constructs deeper-narrower trees for high-confidence predictions to maximize speculation depth, and shallower-wider trees for uncertain predictions to diversify exploration. SAGE improves acceptance lengths and achieves faster acceleration compared to static tree baselines. Experiments on multiple benchmarks demonstrate the effectiveness of SAGE: without any loss in output quality, it delivers up to 3.36× decoding speedup for LLaVA-OneVision-72B and 3.18× for Qwen2.5-VL-72B.