# FutureX-Pro: Extending Future Prediction to High-Value Vertical Domains

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.12259 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.12259/

## Key facts

- Cited by 9 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Financial trading and forecasting agents, one of 16 directions in LLM agents and tool use.
- Builds on 15 of its 20 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 18 Jan 2026.

## Placed in

- LLM agents and tool use / [Financial trading and forecasting agents](https://mlsanity.com/agents/financial-trading-and-forecasting-agents/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 15 of 15)

- [WebArena: A Realistic Web Environment for Building Autonomous Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.13854/) (2023)
- [What Disease does this Patient Have? A Large-scale Open Domain Question Answering Dataset from Medical Exams](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.13081/) (2020)
- [AgentBench: Evaluating LLMs as Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.03688/) (2023)
- [Mind2Web: Towards a Generalist Agent for the Web](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.06070/) (2023)
- [GAIA: a benchmark for General AI Assistants](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.12983/) (2023)
- [BrowseComp: A Simple Yet Challenging Benchmark for Browsing Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.12516/) (2025)
- [FinQA: A Dataset of Numerical Reasoning over Financial Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.00122/) (2021)
- [ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.19839/) (2024)
- [FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.11987/) (2025)
- [FinSearchComp: Towards a Realistic, Expert-Level Evaluation of Financial Search and Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.13160/) (2025)
- [FinDeepResearch: Evaluating Deep Research Agents in Rigorous Financial Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.13936/) (2025)
- [Finch: Benchmarking Finance & Accounting across Spreadsheet-Centric Enterprise Workflows](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.13168/) (2025)
- [EcomBench: Towards Holistic Evaluation of Foundation Agents in E-commerce](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.08868/) (2025)
- [CryptoBench: A Dynamic Benchmark for Expert-Level Evaluation of LLM Agents in Cryptocurrency](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.00417/) (2025)
- [BMGQ: A Bottom-up Method for Generating Complex Multi-hop Reasoning Questions from Semi-structured Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.24151/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 9 of 9)

- [Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.18576/) (2026)
- [Rethinking Multimodal Time-Series Forecasting Evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.06973/) (2026)
- [AQuA: Recursively Self-Improving Quantitative Trading Research Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.12841/) (2026)
- [FutureWorld: A Live Reinforcement Learning Environment for Predictive Agents with Real-World Outcome Rewards](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.26733/) (2026)
- [Rethinking Post-Training Recipes for Multimodal Time-Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.29401/) (2026)
- [YC Bench: a Live Benchmark for Forecasting Startup Outperformance in Y Combinator Batches](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.02378/) (2026)
- [QuantSightBench: Evaluating LLM Quantitative Forecasting with Prediction Intervals](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.15859/) (2026)
- [Distilling Temporal Search and Reasoning: Evolving LLMs for Future Prediction via Harness-Assisted Efficient Data Synthesis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.25554/) (2026)
- [Forecast-Dojo: Replayable Environments for Benchmarking and Training LLM Forecasting Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.28876/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Building upon FutureX, which established a live benchmark for general-purpose future prediction, this report introduces FutureX-Pro, including FutureX-Finance, FutureX-Retail, FutureX-PublicHealth, FutureX-NaturalDisaster, and FutureX-Search. These together form a specialized framework extending agentic future prediction to high-value vertical domains. While generalist agents demonstrate proficiency in open-domain search, their reliability in capital-intensive and safety-critical sectors remains under-explored. FutureX-Pro targets four economically and socially pivotal verticals: Finance, Retail, Public Health, and Natural Disaster. We benchmark agentic Large Language Models (LLMs) on entry-level yet foundational prediction tasks -- ranging from forecasting market indicators and supply chain demands to tracking epidemic trends and natural disasters. By adapting the contamination-free, live-evaluation pipeline of FutureX, we assess whether current State-of-the-Art (SOTA) agentic LLMs possess the domain grounding necessary for industrial deployment. Our findings reveal the performance gap between generalist reasoning and the precision required for high-value vertical applications.