# A Sustainable AI Economy Needs Data Deals That Work for Generators

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.09966 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.09966/

## Key facts

- Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 40 of its 132 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 15 Jan 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 40)

- [Scaling Laws for Neural Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.08361/) (2020)
- [Training Compute-Optimal Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.15556/) (2022)
- [Extracting Training Data from Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.13188/) (2023)
- [Phi-4 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.08905/) (2024)
- [Data Shapley: Equitable Valuation of Data for Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.02868/) (2019)
- [Textbooks Are All You Need II: phi-1.5 technical report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.05463/) (2023)
- [Beyond neural scaling laws: beating power law scaling via data pruning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.14486/) (2022)
- [TinyStories: How Small Can Language Models Be and Still Speak Coherent English?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.07759/) (2023)
- [Selection via Proxy: Efficient Data Selection for Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.11829/) (2019)
- [SemDeDup: Data-efficient learning at web-scale through semantic deduplication](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.09540/) (2023)
- [Towards Efficient Data Valuation Based on the Shapley Value](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.10275/) (2019)
- [Scaling Laws for Transfer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.01293/) (2021)
- [Coresets via Bilevel Optimization for Continual Learning and Streaming](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.03875/) (2020)
- [Data Mixing Laws: Optimizing Data Mixtures by Predicting Language Modeling Performance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.16952/) (2024)
- [RegMix: Data Mixture as Regression for Language Model Pre-training](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.01492/) (2024)
- [Rephrasing the Web: A Recipe for Compute and Data-Efficient Language Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.16380/) (2024)
- [Drive Like a Human: Rethinking Autonomous Driving with Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.07162/) (2023)
- [Is Model Collapse Inevitable? Breaking the Curse of Recursion by Accumulating Real and Synthetic Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.01413/) (2024)
- [Croissant: A Metadata Format for ML-Ready Datasets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.19546/) (2024)
- [Data Shapley in One Training Run](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.11011/) (2024)
- [The Data Provenance Initiative: A Large Scale Audit of Dataset Licensing & Attribution in AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.16787/) (2023)
- [Strong Model Collapse](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.04840/) (2024)
- [On the Diversity of Synthetic Data and its Impact on Training Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.15226/) (2024)
- [On Exposing the Challenging Long Tail in Future Prediction of Traffic Actors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.12474/) (2021)
- [Synthetic Datasets for Autonomous Driving: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.12205/) (2023)
- [Consent in Crisis: The Rapid Decline of the AI Data Commons](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.14933/) (2024)
- [Beyond Model Collapse: Scaling Up with Synthesized Data Requires Verification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.07515/) (2024)
- [DataDecide: How to Predict Best Pretraining Data with Small Experiments](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.11393/) (2025)
- [Model-based Pricing for Machine Learning in a Data Marketplace](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1805.11450/) (2018)
- [Improving the Scaling Laws of Synthetic Data with Deliberate Practice](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.15588/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [How Hyper-Datafication Impacts the Sustainability Costs in Frontier AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.00056/) (2026)
- [Position: Stop Preaching and Start Practising Data Frugality for Responsible Development of AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.19789/) (2026)
- [An Investigation of the NeurIPS and ICML 2025 Position Tracks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.16894/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We argue that the machine learning value chain is structurally unsustainable due to an economic data processing inequality: each state in the data cycle from inputs to model weights to synthetic outputs refines technical signal but strips economic equity from data generators. We show, by analyzing seventy-three public data deals, that the majority of value accrues to aggregators, with documented creator royalties rounding to zero and widespread opacity of deal terms. This is not just an economic welfare concern: as data and its derivatives become economic assets, the feedback loop that sustains current learning algorithms is at risk. We identify three structural faults - missing provenance, asymmetric bargaining power, and non-dynamic pricing - as the operational machinery of this inequality. In our analysis, we trace these problems along the machine learning value chain and propose an Equitable Data-Value Exchange (EDVEX) Framework to enable a minimal market that benefits all participants. Finally, we outline research directions where our community can make concrete contributions to data deals and contextualize our position with related and orthogonal viewpoints.
