# Automating Supply Chain Disruption Monitoring via an Agentic AI Approach

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.09680 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.09680/

## Key facts

- Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Social simulation and multi-agent debate, one of 16 directions in LLM agents and tool use.
- Builds on 15 of its 72 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 14 Jan 2026.

## Placed in

- LLM agents and tool use / [Social simulation and multi-agent debate](https://mlsanity.com/agents/social-simulation-and-multi-agent-debate/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 15 of 15)

- [GPT-4 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.08774/) (2023)
- [Retrieval-Augmented Generation for Knowledge-Intensive NLP Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.11401/) (2020)
- [GPT-4o System Card](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.21276/) (2024)
- [On the Opportunities and Risks of Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.07258/) (2021)
- [Lost in the Middle: How Language Models Use Long Contexts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.03172/) (2023)
- [Survey of Hallucination in Natural Language Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.03629/) (2022)
- [Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Know](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.05221/) (2022)
- [Just Ask for Calibration: Strategies for Eliciting Calibrated Confidence Scores from Language Models Fine-Tuned with Human Feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.14975/) (2023)
- [A Survey of Confidence Estimation and Calibration in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.08298/) (2023)
- [Holistic Evaluation of Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.09110/) (2022)
- [InvAgent: A Large Language Model based Multi-Agent System for Inventory Management in Supply Chains](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.11384/) (2024)
- [Agentic LLMs in the Supply Chain: Towards Autonomous Multi-Agent Consensus-Seeking](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.10184/) (2024)
- [SHIELD: LLM-Driven Schema Induction for Predictive Analytics in EV Battery Supply Chain Disruptions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.05357/) (2024)
- [Enhancing Supply Chain Visibility with Knowledge Graphs and Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.07705/) (2024)
- [A Model-based Multi-agent Framework to Enable an Agile Response to Supply Chain Disruptions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.03460/) (2022)

## Built on by (most cited first, 2 of 2)

- [Flowr -- Scaling Up Retail Supply Chain Operations Through Agentic AI in Large Scale Supermarket Chains](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.05987/) (2026)
- [GenAI-Driven Approach to RISC-V Supply Chain Exploration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.15223/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Modern supply chains are increasingly exposed to disruptions from geopolitical events, demand shocks, trade restrictions, to natural disasters. While many of these disruptions originate deep in the supply network, most companies still lack visibility beyond Tier-1 suppliers, leaving upstream vulnerabilities undetected until the impact cascades downstream. To overcome this blind-spot and move from reactive recovery to proactive resilience, we introduce a minimally supervised agentic AI framework that autonomously monitors, analyses, and responds to disruptions across extended supply networks. The architecture comprises seven specialised agents powered by large language models and deterministic tools that jointly detect disruption signals from unstructured news, map them to multi-tier supplier networks, evaluate exposure based on network structure, and recommend mitigations such as alternative sourcing options. revWe evaluate the framework across 30 synthesised scenarios covering three automotive manufacturers and five disruption classes. The system achieves high accuracy across core tasks, with F1 scores between 0.962 and 0.991, and performs full end-to-end analyses in a mean of 3.83 minutes at a cost of 0.0836 per disruption. Relative to industry benchmarks of multi-day, analyst-driven assessments, this represents a reduction of more than three orders of magnitude in response time. A real-world case study of the 2022 Russia-Ukraine conflict further demonstrates operational applicability. This work establishes a foundational step toward building resilient, proactive, and autonomous supply chains capable of managing disruptions across deep-tier networks.