# Stochastic Deep Learning: A Probabilistic Framework for Modeling Uncertainty in Structured Temporal Data

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.05227 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.05227/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 23 of its 44 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 8 Jan 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 23 of 23)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [Score-Based Generative Modeling through Stochastic Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.13456/) (2020)
- [Model-Agnostic Meta-Learning for Fast Adaptation of Deep Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.03400/) (2017)
- [Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02142/) (2015)
- [Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensembles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.01474/) (2016)
- [Neural Ordinary Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.07366/) (2018)
- [What Uncertainties Do We Need in Bayesian Deep Learning for Computer Vision?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.04977/) (2017)
- [Spectral Normalization for Generative Adversarial Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.05957/) (2018)
- [Variational Inference: A Review for Statisticians](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1601.00670/) (2016)
- [Deep Variational Information Bottleneck](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.00410/) (2016)
- [Wasserstein GAN](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1701.07875/) (2017)
- [Learning to learn by gradient descent by gradient descent](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1606.04474/) (2016)
- [Weight Uncertainty in Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1505.05424/) (2015)
- [Understanding disentangling in β-VAE](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1804.03599/) (2018)
- [Neural Stochastic Differential Equations: Deep Latent Gaussian Models in the Diffusion Limit](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.09883/) (2019)
- [Neural SDEs as Infinite-Dimensional GANs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.03657/) (2021)
- [Sequential Neural Models with Stochastic Layers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1605.07571/) (2016)
- [REBAR: Low-variance, unbiased gradient estimates for discrete latent variable models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.07370/) (2017)
- [PixelVAE: A Latent Variable Model for Natural Images](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1611.05013/) (2016)
- [Structured Output Learning with Conditional Generative Flows](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.13288/) (2019)
- [Black box variational inference for state space models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1511.07367/) (2015)
- [Recurrent Neural Network-Based Semantic Variational Autoencoder for Sequence-to-Sequence Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.03238/) (2018)
- [An Efficient High-Dimensional Gradient Estimator for Stochastic Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.10065/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

I propose a novel framework that integrates stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with deep generative models to improve uncertainty quantification in machine learning applications involving structured and temporal data. This approach, termed Stochastic Latent Differential Inference (SLDI), embeds an Ito SDE in the latent space of a variational autoencoder, allowing for flexible, continuous-time modeling of uncertainty while preserving a principled mathematical foundation. The drift and diffusion terms of the SDE are parameterized by neural networks, enabling data-driven inference and generalizing classical time series models to handle irregular sampling and complex dynamic structure. A central theoretical contribution is the co-parameterization of the adjoint state with a dedicated neural network, forming a coupled forward-backward system that captures not only latent evolution but also gradient dynamics. I introduce a pathwise-regularized adjoint loss and analyze variance-reduced gradient flows through the lens of stochastic calculus, offering new tools for improving training stability in deep latent SDEs. My paper unifies and extends variational inference, continuous-time generative modeling, and control-theoretic optimization, providing a rigorous foundation for future developments in stochastic probabilistic machine learning.
