# Fast Mining and Dynamic Time-to-Event Prediction over Multi-sensor Data Streams

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.04741 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.04741/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 28 of its 74 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 8 Jan 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 28 of 28)

- [A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.14730/) (2022)
- [Learning under Concept Drift: A Review](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.05785/) (2020)
- [TS2Vec: Towards Universal Representation of Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.10466/) (2021)
- [DeepSurv: Personalized Treatment Recommender System Using A Cox Proportional Hazards Deep Neural Network](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1606.00931/) (2016)
- [Time-to-Event Prediction with Neural Networks and Cox Regression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.00825/) (2019)
- [Neural Temporal Point Processes: A Review](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.03528/) (2021)
- [Machine Learning for Survival Analysis: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1708.04649/) (2017)
- [Deep Recurrent Survival Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1809.02403/) (2018)
- [DSformer: A Double Sampling Transformer for Multivariate Time Series Long-term Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.03274/) (2023)
- [Toeplitz Inverse Covariance-Based Clustering of Multivariate Time Series Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03161/) (2017)
- [Temporal Phenotyping using Deep Predictive Clustering of Disease Progression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.08600/) (2020)
- [CAMul: Calibrated and Accurate Multi-view Time-Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.07438/) (2021)
- [Time2Graph: Revisiting Time Series Modeling with Dynamic Shapelets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.04143/) (2019)
- [SSMF: Shifting Seasonal Matrix Factorization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.12763/) (2021)
- [Sketch-Based Anomaly Detection in Streaming Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.04486/) (2021)
- [T-Phenotype: Discovering Phenotypes of Predictive Temporal Patterns in Disease Progression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.12619/) (2023)
- [Dynamic Multi-Network Mining of Tensor Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.11773/) (2024)
- [Fast and Multi-aspect Mining of Complex Time-stamped Event Streams](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.03789/) (2023)
- [Latent Variable Time-varying Network Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.03987/) (2018)
- [Long-Term EEG Partitioning for Seizure Onset Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.15598/) (2024)
- [Modeling Time-evolving Causality over Data Streams](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.08963/) (2025)
- [Mining of Switching Sparse Networks for Missing Value Imputation in Multivariate Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.09930/) (2024)
- [Predictive clustering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.08125/) (2019)
- [Modeling Latent Non-Linear Dynamical System over Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.08114/) (2024)
- [D-Tracker: Modeling Interest Diffusion in Social Activity Tensor Data Streams](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.00242/) (2025)
- [Predicting Bearings' Degradation Stages for Predictive Maintenance in the Pharmaceutical Industry](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.03259/) (2022)
- [Deep State-Space Generative Model For Correlated Time-to-Event Predictions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.19371/) (2024)
- [Fast and Accurate Dual-Way Streaming PARAFAC2 for Irregular Tensors -- Algorithm and Application](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.18376/) (2023)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [AdaKoop: Efficient Modeling of Nonlinear Dynamics from Nonstationary Data Streams with Koopman Operator Regression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.04930/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Given real-time sensor data streams obtained from machines, how can we continuously predict when a machine failure will occur? This work aims to continuously forecast the timing of future events by analyzing multi-sensor data streams. A key characteristic of real-world data streams is their dynamic nature, where the underlying patterns evolve over time. To address this, we present TimeCast, a dynamic prediction framework designed to adapt to these changes and provide accurate, real-time predictions of future event time. Our proposed method has the following properties: (a) Dynamic: it identifies the distinct time-evolving patterns (i.e., stages) and learns individual models for each, enabling us to make adaptive predictions based on pattern shifts. (b) Practical: it finds meaningful stages that capture time-varying interdependencies between multiple sensors and improve prediction performance; (c) Scalable: our algorithm scales linearly with the input size and enables online model updates on data streams. Extensive experiments on real datasets demonstrate that TimeCast provides higher prediction accuracy than state-of-the-art methods while finding dynamic changes in data streams with a great reduction in computational time.
