# Stochastic Actor-Critic: Mitigating Overestimation via Temporal Aleatoric Uncertainty

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.00737 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.00737/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in RL theory and sample complexity, one of 15 directions in Deep reinforcement learning methods.
- Builds on 37 of its 54 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 2 Jan 2026.

## Placed in

- Deep reinforcement learning methods / [RL theory and sample complexity](https://mlsanity.com/deeprl/rl-theory-and-sample-complexity/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 37)

- [PyTorch: An Imperative Style, High-Performance Deep Learning Library](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.01703/) (2019)
- [Layer Normalization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1607.06450/) (2016)
- [Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02142/) (2015)
- [Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensembles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.01474/) (2016)
- [Continuous control with deep reinforcement learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1509.02971/) (2015)
- [Playing Atari with Deep Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1312.5602/) (2013)
- [Addressing Function Approximation Error in Actor-Critic Methods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.09477/) (2018)
- [What Uncertainties Do We Need in Bayesian Deep Learning for Computer Vision?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.04977/) (2017)
- [Soft Actor-Critic Algorithms and Applications](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.05905/) (2018)
- [Deep Reinforcement Learning in a Handful of Trials using Probabilistic Dynamics Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1805.12114/) (2018)
- [When to Trust Your Model: Model-Based Policy Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.08253/) (2019)
- [A Distributional Perspective on Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1707.06887/) (2017)
- [Reinforcement Learning with Deep Energy-Based Policies](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1702.08165/) (2017)
- [Distributional Reinforcement Learning with Quantile Regression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.10044/) (2017)
- [Implicit Quantile Networks for Distributional Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.06923/) (2018)
- [Randomized Ensembled Double Q-Learning: Learning Fast Without a Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.05982/) (2021)
- [Deep Reinforcement Learning and the Deadly Triad](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.02648/) (2018)
- [Controlling Overestimation Bias with Truncated Mixture of Continuous Distributional Quantile Critics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.04269/) (2020)
- [Maxmin Q-learning: Controlling the Estimation Bias of Q-learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.06487/) (2020)
- [Dropout Q-Functions for Doubly Efficient Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.02034/) (2021)
- [Better Exploration with Optimistic Actor-Critic](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.12807/) (2019)
- [Distributional Soft Actor-Critic: Off-Policy Reinforcement Learning for Addressing Value Estimation Errors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.02811/) (2020)
- [Conservative Offline Distributional Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.06106/) (2021)
- [Efficient Exploration through Bayesian Deep Q-Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.04412/) (2018)
- [Tactical Optimism and Pessimism for Deep Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.03765/) (2021)
- [Worst Cases Policy Gradients](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.03618/) (2019)
- [Overestimation, Overfitting, and Plasticity in Actor-Critic: the Bitter Lesson of Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.00514/) (2024)
- [Learning and Policy Search in Stochastic Dynamical Systems with Bayesian Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1605.07127/) (2016)
- [Efficient Risk-Averse Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.05138/) (2022)
- [Distributional Soft Actor-Critic with Three Refinements](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.05858/) (2023)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Off-policy actor-critic methods in reinforcement learning train a critic with temporal-difference updates and use it as a learning signal for the policy (actor). This design typically achieves higher sample efficiency than purely on-policy methods. However, critic networks tend to overestimate value estimates systematically. This is often addressed by introducing a pessimistic bias based on uncertainty estimates. Current methods employ ensembling to quantify the critic's epistemic uncertainty-uncertainty due to limited data and model ambiguity-to scale pessimistic updates. In this work, we propose a new algorithm called Stochastic Actor-Critic (STAC) that incorporates temporal (one-step) aleatoric uncertainty-uncertainty arising from stochastic transitions, rewards, and policy-induced variability in Bellman targets-to scale pessimistic bias in temporal-difference updates, rather than relying on epistemic uncertainty. STAC uses a single distributional critic network to model the temporal return uncertainty, and applies dropout to both the critic and actor networks for regularization. Our results show that pessimism based on a distributional critic alone suffices to mitigate overestimation, and naturally leads to risk-averse behavior in stochastic environments. Introducing dropout further improves training stability and performance by means of regularization. With this design, STAC achieves improved computational efficiency using a single distributional critic network.