# AETAS: Analysis of Evolving Temporal Affect and Semantics for Legal History

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.22196 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.22196/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 8 of its 13 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 20 Dec 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 8 of 8)

- [Efficient Estimation of Word Representations in Vector Space](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1301.3781/) (2013)
- [Diachronic Word Embeddings Reveal Statistical Laws of Semantic Change](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1605.09096/) (2016)
- [SemEval-2020 Task 1: Unsupervised Lexical Semantic Change Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.11464/) (2020)
- [Diachronic word embeddings and semantic shifts: a survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.03537/) (2018)
- [Analysing Lexical Semantic Change with Contextualised Word Representations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.14118/) (2020)
- [Survey of Computational Approaches to Lexical Semantic Change](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.06278/) (2018)
- [Dynamic Word Embeddings](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1702.08359/) (2017)
- [Incremental Skip-gram Model with Negative Sampling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1704.03956/) (2017)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Digital-humanities work on semantic shift often alternates between handcrafted close readings and opaque embedding machinery. We present a reproducible expert-system style pipeline that quantifies lexical drift and its instability in the Old Bailey Corpus (1674-1913), coupling interpretable trajectories with legally meaningful axes. We bin proceedings by decade with dynamic merging for low-resource slices, train skip-gram embeddings, align spaces through orthogonal Procrustes to a 1900s anchor, and measure both geometric displacement and neighborhood turnover. We add split-half baselines and seed-sensitivity checks to separate within-bin instability from temporal change. Three visual analytics outputs (drift magnitudes, semantic trajectories, and movement along a mercy-versus-retribution axis) expose how justice, crime, poverty, and insanity evolve with penal reforms, transportation debates, and Victorian moral politics. The pipeline is implemented as auditable scripts so results can be reproduced in other historical corpora.