# The Seismic Wavefield Common Task Framework

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.19927 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.19927/

## Key facts

- Cited by 6 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 36 of its 96 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 22 Dec 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 36)

- [Training Verifiers to Solve Math Word Problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.14168/) (2021)
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- [Neural Ordinary Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.07366/) (2018)
- [Fourier Neural Operator for Parametric Partial Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.08895/) (2020)
- [DeepONet: Learning nonlinear operators for identifying differential equations based on the universal approximation theorem of operators](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.03193/) (2019)
- [Chronos: Learning the Language of Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.07815/) (2024)
- [KAN: Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.19756/) (2024)
- [DeepXDE: A deep learning library for solving differential equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.04502/) (2019)
- [Large Language Models Are Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasters](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.07820/) (2023)
- [Tune: A Research Platform for Distributed Model Selection and Training](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1807.05118/) (2018)
- [Modern Koopman Theory for Dynamical Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.12086/) (2021)
- [A System for Massively Parallel Hyperparameter Tuning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.05934/) (2018)
- [Sundial: A Family of Highly Capable Time Series Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.00816/) (2025)
- [Finite Basis Physics-Informed Neural Networks (FBPINNs): a scalable domain decomposition approach for solving differential equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.07871/) (2021)
- [Ensemble-SINDy: Robust sparse model discovery in the low-data, high-noise limit, with active learning and control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.10992/) (2021)
- [Backpropagation Algorithms and Reservoir Computing in Recurrent Neural Networks for the Forecasting of Complex Spatiotemporal Dynamics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.05266/) (2019)
- [Moirai-MoE: Empowering Time Series Foundation Models with Sparse Mixture of Experts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.10469/) (2024)
- [Weak baselines and reporting biases lead to overoptimism in machine learning for fluid-related partial differential equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.07218/) (2024)
- [Effectively Modeling Time Series with Simple Discrete State Spaces](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.09489/) (2023)
- [Sequential Deep Operator Networks (S-DeepONet) for Predicting Full-field Solutions Under Time-dependent Loads](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.08218/) (2023)
- [Neural Operator Learning for Long-Time Integration in Dynamical Systems with Recurrent Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.02243/) (2023)
- [Bagging, optimized dynamic mode decomposition (BOP-DMD) for robust, stable forecasting with spatial and temporal uncertainty-quantification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.10878/) (2021)
- [A Systematic Exploration of Reservoir Computing for Forecasting Complex Spatiotemporal Dynamics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.08910/) (2022)
- [Fast PDE-constrained optimization via self-supervised operator learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.13297/) (2021)
- [PyDMD: A Python package for robust dynamic mode decomposition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.07463/) (2024)
- [Panda: A pretrained forecast model for chaotic dynamics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.13755/) (2025)
- [Common Task Framework For a Critical Evaluation of Scientific Machine Learning Algorithms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.23166/) (2025)
- [PyKoopman: A Python Package for Data-Driven Approximation of the Koopman Operator](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.12962/) (2023)
- [Enhancing Continuous Time Series Modelling with a Latent ODE-LSTM Approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.05126/) (2023)

## Built on by (most cited first, 6 of 6)

- [EML Trees Are Universal Approximators](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.23179/) (2026)
- [Physics-informed reduced-order modelling with equivariant spectral submanifolds](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.04239/) (2026)
- [Adaptive Reservoir Computing for Multi-Scenario Chaotic System Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.28145/) (2026)
- [Metric-Aware Hybrid Forecasting for the CTF4Science Lorenz Challenge](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.04191/) (2026)
- [Divide-and-Conquer Modeling for the CTF-4-Science Lorenz Benchmark](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.10084/) (2026)
- [Mesh-Native Tokenisation: Retrofitting Foundation Models to Unstructured Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.12618/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Seismology faces fundamental challenges in state forecasting and reconstruction (e.g., earthquake early warning and ground motion prediction) and managing the parametric variability of source locations, mechanisms, and Earth models (e.g., subsurface structure and topography effects). Addressing these with simulations is hindered by their massive scale, both in synthetic data volumes and numerical complexity, while real-data efforts are constrained by models that inadequately reflect the Earth's complexity and by sparse sensor measurements from the field. Recent machine learning (ML) efforts offer promise, but progress is obscured by a lack of proper characterization, fair reporting, and rigorous comparisons. To address this, we introduce a Common Task Framework (CTF) for ML for seismic wavefields, demonstrated here on three distinct wavefield datasets. Our CTF features a curated set of datasets at various scales (global, crustal, and local) and task-specific metrics spanning forecasting, reconstruction, and generalization under realistic constraints such as noise and limited data. Inspired by CTFs in fields like natural language processing, this framework provides a structured and rigorous foundation for head-to-head algorithm evaluation. We evaluate various methods for reconstructing seismic wavefields from sparse sensor measurements, with results illustrating the CTF's utility in revealing strengths, limitations, and suitability for specific problem classes. Our vision is to replace ad hoc comparisons with standardized evaluations on hidden test sets, raising the bar for rigor and reproducibility in scientific ML.
