# Quasiprobabilistic Density Ratio Estimation with a Reverse Engineered Classification Loss Function

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.19913 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.19913/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 9 of its 32 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 22 Dec 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 9 of 9)

- [PyTorch: An Imperative Style, High-Performance Deep Learning Library](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.01703/) (2019)
- [Computational Optimal Transport](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.00567/) (2018)
- [The frontier of simulation-based inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.01429/) (2019)
- [Understanding the Limitations of Variational Mutual Information Estimators](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.06222/) (2019)
- [Approximating Likelihood Ratios with Calibrated Discriminative Classifiers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02169/) (2015)
- [Fast Approximation of the Sliced-Wasserstein Distance Using Concentration of Random Projections](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.15427/) (2021)
- [OmniFold: A Method to Simultaneously Unfold All Observables](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.09107/) (2019)
- [Learning Likelihood Ratios with Neural Network Classifiers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.10500/) (2023)
- [Neural Quasiprobabilistic Likelihood Ratio Estimation with Negatively Weighted Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.10216/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We consider a generalization of the classifier-based density-ratio estimation task to a quasiprobabilistic setting where probability densities can be negative. The problem with most loss functions used for this task is that they implicitly define a relationship between the optimal classifier and the target quasiprobabilistic density ratio which is discontinuous or not surjective. We address these problems by introducing a convex loss function that is well-suited for both probabilistic and quasiprobabilistic density ratio estimation. To quantify performance, an extended version of the Sliced-Wasserstein distance is introduced which is compatible with quasiprobability distributions. We demonstrate our approach on a real-world example from particle physics, of di-Higgs production in association with jets via gluon-gluon fusion, and achieve state-of-the-art results.
