# Reflective Confidence: Correcting Reasoning Flaws via Online Self-Correction

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.18605 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.18605/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Test-time compute and efficient thinking, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning.
- Builds on 30 of its 31 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 21 Dec 2025.

## Placed in

- LLM reasoning / [Test-time compute and efficient thinking](https://mlsanity.com/lr/test-time-compute-and-efficient-thinking/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 30)

- [Language Models are Few-Shot Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.14165/) (2020)
- [Chain-of-Thought Prompting Elicits Reasoning in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.11903/) (2022)
- [Qwen3 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.09388/) (2025)
- [Self-Consistency Improves Chain of Thought Reasoning in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.11171/) (2022)
- [Reflexion: Language Agents with Verbal Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.11366/) (2023)
- [Self-Refine: Iterative Refinement with Self-Feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.17651/) (2023)
- [Tree of Thoughts: Deliberate Problem Solving with Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.10601/) (2023)
- [The Curious Case of Neural Text Degeneration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.09751/) (2019)
- [A Survey of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.18223/) (2023)
- [Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Know](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.05221/) (2022)
- [Least-to-Most Prompting Enables Complex Reasoning in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.10625/) (2022)
- [CRITIC: Large Language Models Can Self-Correct with Tool-Interactive Critiquing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.11738/) (2023)
- [Confident Adaptive Language Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.07061/) (2022)
- [Deep Think with Confidence](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.15260/) (2025)
- [Scalable Best-of-N Selection for Large Language Models via Self-Certainty](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.18581/) (2025)
- [LLM Critics Help Catch LLM Bugs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.00215/) (2024)
- [CF-VLM:CounterFactual Vision-Language Fine-tuning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.17267/) (2025)
- [GAM-Agent: Game-Theoretic and Uncertainty-Aware Collaboration for Complex Visual Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.23399/) (2025)
- [RCOT: Detecting and Rectifying Factual Inconsistency in Reasoning by Reversing Chain-of-Thought](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.11499/) (2023)
- [KABB: Knowledge-Aware Bayesian Bandits for Dynamic Expert Coordination in Multi-Agent Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.07350/) (2025)
- [MAT-Agent: Adaptive Multi-Agent Training Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.17845/) (2025)
- [MM-CoT:A Benchmark for Probing Visual Chain-of-Thought Reasoning in Multimodal Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.08228/) (2025)
- [Failure-Driven Workflow Refinement](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.10035/) (2025)
- [Hybrid Token Compression for Vision-Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.08240/) (2025)
- [Kolmogorov-Arnold Fourier Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.06018/) (2025)
- [Learning Dynamics of VLM Finetuning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.11978/) (2025)
- [Top-Down Semantic Refinement for Image Captioning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.22391/) (2025)
- [Enhancing Mathematical Reasoning in Large Language Models with Self-Consistency-Based Hallucination Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.09440/) (2025)
- [Entropy-Based Block Pruning for Efficient Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.03794/) (2025)
- [Weaker LLMs' Opinions Also Matter: Mixture of Opinions Enhances LLM's Mathematical Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.19622/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [interwhen: A Generalizable Framework for Steering Reasoning Models with Test-time Verification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.11202/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Large language models (LLMs) have achieved strong performance on complex reasoning tasks using techniques such as chain-of-thought and self-consistency. However, ensemble-based approaches, especially self-consistency which relies on multiple reasoning trajectories, often incur substantial computational overhead. To improve efficiency, prior work has leveraged internal confidence signals, where early stopping strategies such as DeepConf reduce cost by terminating low-confidence trajectories. However, this strategy discards incomplete reasoning paths and wastes partial computation. We propose reflective confidence, a novel reasoning framework that transforms low-confidence signals from termination indicators into reflection triggers. When confidence falls below a threshold, instead of stopping generation, the model produces a reflection prompt to analyze the current reasoning state, identify potential errors, and continue generation along a corrected trajectory. Experiments on mathematical reasoning benchmarks, including AIME 2025, demonstrate significant accuracy improvements over advanced early-stopping baselines at comparable computational cost, validating the effectiveness of proactive self-correction over passive discarding.