# OccStress: Stress-Testing the 4D Occupancy Forecasting Chain

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.15621 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.15621/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 34 of its 39 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 17 Dec 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 34)

- [nuScenes: A multimodal dataset for autonomous driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.11027/) (2019)
- [Scalability in Perception for Autonomous Driving: Waymo Open Dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.04838/) (2019)
- [BEVDet: High-performance Multi-camera 3D Object Detection in Bird-Eye-View](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.11790/) (2021)
- [Tri-Perspective View for Vision-Based 3D Semantic Occupancy Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.07817/) (2023)
- [Occ3D: A Large-Scale 3D Occupancy Prediction Benchmark for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.14365/) (2023)
- [OccFormer: Dual-path Transformer for Vision-based 3D Semantic Occupancy Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.05316/) (2023)
- [OccWorld: Learning a 3D Occupancy World Model for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.16038/) (2023)
- [OpenOccupancy: A Large Scale Benchmark for Surrounding Semantic Occupancy Perception](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.03991/) (2023)
- [FB-OCC: 3D Occupancy Prediction based on Forward-Backward View Transformation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.01492/) (2023)
- [Robo3D: Towards Robust and Reliable 3D Perception against Corruptions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.17597/) (2023)
- [PanoOcc: Unified Occupancy Representation for Camera-based 3D Panoptic Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.10013/) (2023)
- [Benchmarking Robustness of 3D Object Detection to Common Corruptions in Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.11040/) (2023)
- [FlashOcc: Fast and Memory-Efficient Occupancy Prediction via Channel-to-Height Plugin](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.12058/) (2023)
- [COTR: Compact Occupancy TRansformer for Vision-based 3D Occupancy Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.01919/) (2023)
- [SparseOcc: Rethinking Sparse Latent Representation for Vision-Based Semantic Occupancy Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.09502/) (2024)
- [Driving in the Occupancy World: Vision-Centric 4D Occupancy Forecasting and Planning via World Models for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.14197/) (2024)
- [GaussianWorld: Gaussian World Model for Streaming 3D Occupancy Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.10373/) (2024)
- [DOME: Taming Diffusion Model into High-Fidelity Controllable Occupancy World Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.10429/) (2024)
- [Cam4DOcc: Benchmark for Camera-Only 4D Occupancy Forecasting in Autonomous Driving Applications](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.17663/) (2023)
- [Benchmarking and Improving Bird's Eye View Perception Robustness in Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.17426/) (2024)
- [ViewFormer: Exploring Spatiotemporal Modeling for Multi-View 3D Occupancy Perception via View-Guided Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.04299/) (2024)
- [Semi-Supervised Vision-Centric 3D Occupancy World Model for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.07309/) (2025)
- [Is Your HD Map Constructor Reliable under Sensor Corruptions?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.12214/) (2024)
- [UniOcc: A Unified Benchmark for Occupancy Forecasting and Prediction in Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.24381/) (2025)
- [CVT-Occ: Cost Volume Temporal Fusion for 3D Occupancy Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.13430/) (2024)
- [STCOcc: Sparse Spatial-Temporal Cascade Renovation for 3D Occupancy and Scene Flow Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.19749/) (2025)
- [ALOcc: Adaptive Lifting-Based 3D Semantic Occupancy and Cost Volume-Based Flow Predictions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.07725/) (2024)
- [MSC-Bench: Benchmarking and Analyzing Multi-Sensor Corruption for Driving Perception](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.01037/) (2025)
- [COME: Adding Scene-Centric Forecasting Control to Occupancy World Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.13260/) (2025)
- [OccFusion: Depth Estimation Free Multi-sensor Fusion for 3D Occupancy Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.05329/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Occupancy world models use historical occupancy states to forecast future 3D scenes, but their robustness under corrupted temporal inputs remains poorly understood. Existing evaluations primarily emphasize clean forecasting accuracy and provide limited evidence about how errors enter, persist, and propagate through the occupancy perception-forecasting chain. This paper introduces OccStress, a robustness stress-testing benchmark for the occupancy forecasting chain. OccStress contains 21 corruption families with 61 severity configurations and 10,827 strict temporal anchors across 3 datasets. OccStress covers both 3D occupancy perception and 4D occupancy forecasting through two complementary tracks. This design separates model-mediated pipeline errors under standardized sensor stressors from the intrinsic sensitivity of 4D forecasting models to corrupted occupancy states. OccStress further defines temporal injection protocols to test whether errors in the current state, recent history, or earlier history affect future forecasts differently. OccStress provides aggregate metrics for evaluating robustness along the occupancy forecasting chain. Experiments with five 4D forecasters reveal that current occupancy models are substantially affected by both upstream prediction errors and direct state corruptions, and that clean performance alone is an insufficient description of source- and position-specific robustness. Code, data, and evaluation tools are available at https://insailab.org/OccStress.