# Exact Recovery of Non-Random Missing Multidimensional Time Series via Temporal Isometric Delay-Embedding Transform

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.10191 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.10191/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 22 of its 49 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 11 Dec 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 22 of 22)

- [Recurrent Neural Networks for Multivariate Time Series with Missing Values](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1606.01865/) (2016)
- [Tensor Robust Principal Component Analysis with A New Tensor Nuclear Norm](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1804.03728/) (2018)
- [Exact tensor completion using t-SVD](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1502.04689/) (2015)
- [Bayesian CP Factorization of Incomplete Tensors with Automatic Rank Determination](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1401.6497/) (2014)
- [Bayesian Temporal Factorization for Multidimensional Time Series Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.06366/) (2019)
- [Guaranteed Tensor Recovery Fused Low-rankness and Smoothness](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.02155/) (2023)
- [Low-Rank Autoregressive Tensor Completion for Spatiotemporal Traffic Data Imputation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.14936/) (2021)
- [Smooth PARAFAC Decomposition for Tensor Completion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1505.06611/) (2015)
- [A Nonconvex Low-Rank Tensor Completion Model for Spatiotemporal Traffic Data Imputation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.10271/) (2020)
- [Bayesian Poisson Tucker Decomposition for Learning the Structure of International Relations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1606.01855/) (2016)
- [Low-Rank Hankel Tensor Completion for Traffic Speed Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.11335/) (2021)
- [Factor Models for High-Dimensional Tensor Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.07530/) (2019)
- [Dictionary Learning with Low-rank Coding Coefficients for Tensor Completion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.12507/) (2020)
- [Exact Decomposition of Joint Low Rankness and Local Smoothness Plus Sparse Matrices](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.12592/) (2022)
- [Autoregressive Models for Matrix-Valued Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.08916/) (2018)
- [Laplacian Convolutional Representation for Traffic Time Series Imputation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.01529/) (2022)
- [Missing Slice Recovery for Tensors Using a Low-rank Model in Embedded Space](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1804.01736/) (2018)
- [Recovery of Future Data via Convolution Nuclear Norm Minimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.03889/) (2019)
- [Scalable Low-Rank Tensor Learning for Spatiotemporal Traffic Data Imputation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2008.03194/) (2020)
- [Time Series Forecasting via Learning Convolutionally Low-Rank Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.11510/) (2021)
- [Structured low-rank matrix completion for forecasting in time series analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.08242/) (2018)
- [Guaranteed Multidimensional Time Series Prediction via Deterministic Tensor Completion Theory](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.15388/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Non-random missing data is a ubiquitous yet undertreated flaw in multidimensional time series, fundamentally threatening the reliability of data-driven analysis and decision-making. Pure low-rank tensor completion, as a classical data recovery method, falls short in handling non-random missingness, both methodologically and theoretically. Hankel-structured tensor completion models provide a feasible approach for recovering multidimensional time series with non-random missing patterns. However, most Hankel-based multidimensional data recovery methods both suffer from unclear sources of Hankel tensor low-rankness and lack an exact recovery theory for non-random missing data. To address these issues, we propose the temporal isometric delay-embedding transform, which constructs a Hankel tensor whose low-rankness is naturally induced by the smoothness and periodicity of the underlying time series. Leveraging this property, we develop the textitLow-Rank Tensor Completion with Temporal Isometric Delay-embedding Transform (LRTC-TIDT) model, which characterizes the low-rank structure under the textitTensor Singular Value Decomposition (t-SVD) framework. Once the prescribed non-random sampling conditions and mild incoherence assumptions are satisfied, the proposed LRTC-TIDT model achieves exact recovery, as confirmed by simulation experiments under various non-random missing patterns. Furthermore, LRTC-TIDT consistently outperforms existing tensor-based methods across multiple real-world tasks, including network flow reconstruction, urban traffic estimation, and temperature field prediction. Our implementation is publicly available at https://github.com/HaoShu2000/LRTC-TIDT.
