# AP-BMM: Approximating Capability-Cost Pareto Sets of LLMs via Asynchronous Prior-Guided Bayesian Model Merging

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.09972 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.09972/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 20 of its 40 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 10 Dec 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 20 of 20)

- [Chain-of-Thought Prompting Elicits Reasoning in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.11903/) (2022)
- [Qwen3 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.09388/) (2025)
- [Self-Consistency Improves Chain of Thought Reasoning in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.11171/) (2022)
- [GPQA: A Graduate-Level Google-Proof Q&A Benchmark](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.12022/) (2023)
- [Least-to-Most Prompting Enables Complex Reasoning in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.10625/) (2022)
- [Kimi k1.5: Scaling Reinforcement Learning with LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.12599/) (2025)
- [Editing Models with Task Arithmetic](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.04089/) (2022)
- [TIES-Merging: Resolving Interference When Merging Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.01708/) (2023)
- [Language Models are Super Mario: Absorbing Abilities from Homologous Models as a Free Lunch](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.03099/) (2023)
- [Stop Overthinking: A Survey on Efficient Reasoning for Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.16419/) (2025)
- [Model Merging in LLMs, MLLMs, and Beyond: Methods, Theories, Applications and Opportunities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.07666/) (2024)
- [Evolutionary Optimization of Model Merging Recipes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.13187/) (2024)
- [Differentiable Expected Hypervolume Improvement for Parallel Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.05078/) (2020)
- [High-Dimensional Bayesian Optimization with Sparse Axis-Aligned Subspaces](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.00349/) (2021)
- [Model Breadcrumbs: Scaling Multi-Task Model Merging with Sparse Masks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.06795/) (2023)
- [Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization over High-Dimensional Search Spaces](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.10964/) (2021)
- [DELLA-Merging: Reducing Interference in Model Merging through Magnitude-Based Sampling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.11617/) (2024)
- [Robust Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization Under Input Noise](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.07549/) (2022)
- [It's Morphing Time: Unleashing the Potential of Multiple LLMs via Multi-objective Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.00487/) (2024)
- [Revisiting Model Interpolation for Efficient Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.10977/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

LLM services need to offer a family of models spanning different capability--cost trade-offs to accommodate diverse user preferences. Model merging offers a practical way to construct such a model family by combining a reasoning-enhanced model with an instruction-tuned model. Compared with model-level merging, layer-wise merging offers finer control over the capability--cost trade-off by assigning different merge weights to individual layers. However, it introduces two practical challenges: the layer-wise search space is high-dimensional, and existing methods rarely exploit informative signals from the source models; moreover, the highly variable runtime of LLM evaluations makes synchronous batch optimization inefficient by leaving GPU resources idle while waiting for slow evaluations. To address these challenges, we propose Asynchronous Prior-Guided Bayesian Model Merging (AP-BMM), which formulates layer-wise merging as a multi-objective optimization problem to approximate a Pareto set of merged LLMs, yielding a family of Pareto-optimal merged models with diverse capability--cost trade-offs. AP-BMM leverages parameter and activation discrepancies between the source models to guide the early layer-wise search, employs asynchronous pending-aware Bayesian optimization to maximize GPU utilization through asynchronous evaluations and to select high-quality candidates via pending awareness, and applies lightweight ranking over an oversized candidate pool to improve Pareto-front coverage. Under fixed evaluation budgets, AP-BMM achieves higher hypervolume (HV) and broader Pareto-front coverage than synchronous layer-wise and representative model-level merging methods, while reducing wall-clock time through higher GPU utilization.