# Weighted Contrastive Learning for Anomaly-Aware Time-Series Forecasting

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.07569 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.07569/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 19 of its 26 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 8 Dec 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 19 of 19)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [Informer: Beyond Efficient Transformer for Long Sequence Time-Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.07436/) (2020)
- [Autoformer: Decomposition Transformers with Auto-Correlation for Long-Term Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.13008/) (2021)
- [FEDformer: Frequency Enhanced Decomposed Transformer for Long-term Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.12740/) (2022)
- [TimesNet: Temporal 2D-Variation Modeling for General Time Series Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.02186/) (2022)
- [A Comprehensive Survey of Continual Learning: Theory, Method and Application](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.00487/) (2023)
- [MOMENT: A Family of Open Time-series Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.03885/) (2024)
- [TS2Vec: Towards Universal Representation of Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.10466/) (2021)
- [Unsupervised Scalable Representation Learning for Multivariate Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1901.10738/) (2019)
- [Deep Time Series Models: A Comprehensive Survey and Benchmark](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.13278/) (2024)
- [Unsupervised Time-Series Representation Learning with Iterative Bilinear Temporal-Spectral Fusion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.04770/) (2022)
- [TimesURL: Self-supervised Contrastive Learning for Universal Time Series Representation Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.15709/) (2023)
- [Soft Contrastive Learning for Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.16424/) (2023)
- [A Comprehensive Survey of Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting: Architectural Diversity and Open Challenges](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.05793/) (2024)
- [DBLoss: Decomposition-based Loss Function for Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.23672/) (2025)
- [Universal Time-Series Representation Learning: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.03717/) (2024)
- [Time-o1: Time-Series Forecasting Needs Transformed Label Alignment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.17847/) (2025)
- [Label-efficient Time Series Representation Learning: A Review](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.06433/) (2023)
- [Self-Supervised Contrastive Learning for Long-term Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.02023/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Reliable forecasting of multivariate time series under anomalous conditions is crucial in applications such as ATM cash logistics, where sudden demand shifts can disrupt operations. Modern deep forecasters achieve high accuracy on normal data but often fail when distribution shifts occur. We propose Weighted Contrastive Adaptation (WECA), a Weighted contrastive objective that aligns normal and anomaly-augmented representations, preserving anomaly-relevant information while maintaining consistency under benign variations. Evaluations on a nationwide ATM transaction dataset with domain-informed anomaly injection show that WECA improves SMAPE on anomaly-affected data by 6.1 percentage points compared to a normally trained baseline, with negligible degradation on normal data. These results demonstrate that WECA enhances forecasting reliability under anomalies without sacrificing performance during regular operations.