# IdealTSF: Can Non-Ideal Data Contribute to Enhancing the Performance of Time Series Forecasting Models?

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.05442 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.05442/

## Key facts

- Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 17 of its 43 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 5 Dec 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 17 of 17)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.14730/) (2022)
- [FEDformer: Frequency Enhanced Decomposed Transformer for Long-term Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.12740/) (2022)
- [Modeling Long- and Short-Term Temporal Patterns with Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.07015/) (2017)
- [Optimizing Neural Networks with Kronecker-factored Approximate Curvature](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1503.05671/) (2015)
- [A Dual-Stage Attention-Based Recurrent Neural Network for Time Series Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1704.02971/) (2017)
- [FutureSightDrive: Thinking Visually with Spatio-Temporal CoT for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.17685/) (2025)
- [A Sufficient Condition for Convergences of Adam and RMSProp](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.09358/) (2018)
- [TimeMixer++: A General Time Series Pattern Machine for Universal Predictive Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.16032/) (2024)
- [Don't Say That! Making Inconsistent Dialogue Unlikely with Unlikelihood Training](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.03860/) (2019)
- [NDC-Scene: Boost Monocular 3D Semantic Scene Completion in Normalized Device Coordinates Space](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.14616/) (2023)
- [JanusVLN: Decoupling Semantics and Spatiality with Dual Implicit Memory for Vision-Language Navigation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.22548/) (2025)
- [SAMformer: Unlocking the Potential of Transformers in Time Series Forecasting with Sharpness-Aware Minimization and Channel-Wise Attention](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.10198/) (2024)
- [Swift Sampler: Efficient Learning of Sampler by 10 Parameters](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.05578/) (2024)
- [Negative Training for Neural Dialogue Response Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.02134/) (2019)
- [Implicit Unlikelihood Training: Improving Neural Text Generation with Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.04229/) (2021)
- [C3-OWD: A Curriculum Cross-modal Contrastive Learning Framework for Open-World Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.23316/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [TimeSAF: Towards LLM-Guided Semantic Asynchronous Fusion for Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.12648/) (2026)
- [PESD-TSF: A Period-Aware and Explicit Structured Decomposition Framework for Long-Term Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.16449/) (2026)
- [CASE-NET: Deep Spatio-Temporal Representation Learning via Causal Attention and Channel Recalibration for Multivariate Time Series Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.22043/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Deep learning has shown strong performance in time series forecasting tasks. However, issues such as missing values and anomalies in sequential data hinder its further development in prediction tasks. Previous research has primarily focused on extracting feature information from sequence data or addressing these suboptimal data as positive samples for knowledge transfer. A more effective approach would be to leverage these non-ideal negative samples to enhance event prediction. In response, this study highlights the advantages of non-ideal negative samples and proposes the IdealTSF framework, which integrates both ideal positive and negative samples for time series forecasting. IdealTSF consists of three progressive steps: pretraining, training, and optimization. It first pretrains the model by extracting knowledge from negative sample data, then transforms the sequence data into ideal positive samples during training. Additionally, a negative optimization mechanism with adversarial disturbances is applied. Extensive experiments demonstrate that negative sample data unlocks significant potential within the basic attention architecture for time series forecasting. Therefore, IdealTSF is particularly well-suited for applications with noisy samples or low-quality data.