# Structural Prognostic Event Modeling for Multimodal Cancer Survival Analysis

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.01116 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.01116/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 43 of its 115 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 30 Nov 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 43)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1512.03385/) (2015)
- [Outrageously Large Neural Networks: The Sparsely-Gated Mixture-of-Experts Layer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1701.06538/) (2017)
- [Categorical Reparameterization with Gumbel-Softmax](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1611.01144/) (2016)
- [On the Properties of Neural Machine Translation: Encoder-Decoder Approaches](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1409.1259/) (2014)
- [Attention-based Deep Multiple Instance Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.04712/) (2018)
- [Deep Variational Information Bottleneck](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.00410/) (2016)
- [Object-Centric Learning with Slot Attention](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.15055/) (2020)
- [Data Efficient and Weakly Supervised Computational Pathology on Whole Slide Images](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.09666/) (2020)
- [Disentangling by Factorising](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.05983/) (2018)
- [Self-Normalizing Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.02515/) (2017)
- [TransMIL: Transformer based Correlated Multiple Instance Learning for Whole Slide Image Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.00908/) (2021)
- [Nystr"omformer: A Nystr"om-Based Algorithm for Approximating Self-Attention](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.03902/) (2021)
- [Highway Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1505.00387/) (2015)
- [On the Binding Problem in Artificial Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.05208/) (2020)
- [Stochastic Beams and Where to Find Them: The Gumbel-Top-k Trick for Sampling Sequences Without Replacement](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.06059/) (2019)
- [Whole Slide Images based Cancer Survival Prediction using Attention Guided Deep Multiple Instance Learning Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.11169/) (2020)
- [Pathomic Fusion: An Integrated Framework for Fusing Histopathology and Genomic Features for Cancer Diagnosis and Prognosis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.08937/) (2019)
- [Multimodal Whole Slide Foundation Model for Pathology](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.19666/) (2024)
- [Patch-based Convolutional Neural Network for Whole Slide Tissue Image Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1504.07947/) (2015)
- [A* Sampling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1411.0030/) (2014)
- [Whole Slide Images are 2D Point Clouds: Context-Aware Survival Prediction using Patch-based Graph Convolutional Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.13048/) (2021)
- [Artificial Intelligence for Digital and Computational Pathology](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.06148/) (2023)
- [Modeling Dense Multimodal Interactions Between Biological Pathways and Histology for Survival Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.06819/) (2023)
- [Multimodal Optimal Transport-based Co-Attention Transformer with Global Structure Consistency for Survival Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.08330/) (2023)
- [Deep Learning for Survival Analysis: A Review](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.14961/) (2023)
- [Cross-Modal Translation and Alignment for Survival Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.12855/) (2023)
- [Multimodal Prototyping for cancer survival prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.00224/) (2024)
- [Prototypical Information Bottlenecking and Disentangling for Multimodal Cancer Survival Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.01646/) (2024)
- [Learning Object-Centric Representations of Multi-Object Scenes from Multiple Views](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.07117/) (2021)

## Abstract (arXiv)

The integration of histology images and gene profiles has shown great promise for improving survival prediction in cancer. However, current approaches often struggle to model intra- and inter-modal interactions efficiently and effectively due to the high dimensionality and complexity of the inputs. A major challenge is capturing critical prognostic events that, though few, underlie the complexity of the observed inputs and largely determine patient outcomes. These events, manifested as high-level structural signals such as spatial histologic patterns or pathway co-activations, are typically sparse, patient-specific, and unannotated, making them inherently difficult to uncover. To address this, we propose SlotSPE, a slot-based framework for structural prognostic event modeling. Specifically, inspired by the principle of factorial coding, we compress each patient's multimodal inputs into compact, modality-specific sets of mutually distinctive slots using slot attention. By leveraging these slot representations as encodings for prognostic events, our framework enables both efficient and effective modeling of complex intra- and inter-modal interactions, while also facilitating seamless incorporation of biological priors that enhance prognostic relevance. Extensive experiments on ten cancer benchmarks show that SlotSPE outperforms existing methods in 8 out of 10 cohorts, achieving an overall improvement of 2.9%. It remains robust under missing genomic data and delivers markedly improved interpretability through structured event decomposition.
