# Learning to Predict Aboveground Biomass from RGB Images with 3D Synthetic Scenes

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.23249 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.23249/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 12 of its 32 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 28 Nov 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 12 of 12)

- [High-Resolution Image Synthesis with Latent Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.10752/) (2021)
- [LoRA: Low-Rank Adaptation of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.09685/) (2021)
- [Swin Transformer: Hierarchical Vision Transformer using Shifted Windows](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.14030/) (2021)
- [DINOv2: Learning Robust Visual Features without Supervision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.07193/) (2023)
- [Emerging Properties in Self-Supervised Vision Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.14294/) (2021)
- [Depth Anything: Unleashing the Power of Large-Scale Unlabeled Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.10891/) (2024)
- [Repurposing Diffusion-Based Image Generators for Monocular Depth Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.02145/) (2023)
- [A high-resolution canopy height model of the Earth](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.08322/) (2022)
- [Video Depth without Video Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.19189/) (2024)
- [AGBD: A Global-scale Biomass Dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.04928/) (2024)
- [Tree-D Fusion: Simulation-Ready Tree Dataset from Single Images with Diffusion Priors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.10330/) (2024)
- [Combining Transformers and CNNs for Efficient Object Detection in High-Resolution Satellite Imagery](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.11040/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Forests play a critical role in global ecosystems by supporting biodiversity and mitigating climate change via carbon sequestration. Accurate aboveground biomass (AGB) estimation is essential for assessing carbon storage and wildfire fuel loads, yet traditional methods rely on labor-intensive field measurements or remote sensing approaches with significant limitations in dense vegetation. In this work, we propose a novel learning-based method for estimating AGB from a single ground-based RGB image. We frame this as a dense prediction task, introducing AGB density maps, where each pixel represents tree biomass normalized by the plot area and each tree's image area. We leverage the recently introduced synthetic 3D SPREAD dataset, which provides realistic forest scenes with per-image tree attributes (height, trunk and canopy diameter) and instance segmentation masks. Using these assets, we compute AGB via allometric equations and train a model to predict AGB density maps, integrating them to recover the AGB estimate for the captured scene. Our approach achieves a median AGB estimation error of 1.22 kg/m^2 on held-out SPREAD data and 1.94 kg/m^2 on a real-image dataset. To our knowledge, this is the first method to estimate aboveground biomass directly from a single RGB image, opening up the possibility for a scalable, interpretable, and cost-effective solution for forest monitoring, while also enabling broader participation through citizen science initiatives.
