# SparseWorld-TC: Trajectory-Conditioned Sparse Occupancy World Model

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.22039 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.22039/

## Key facts

- Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in World models for autonomous driving, one of 11 directions in World models.
- Builds on 52 of its 56 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 27 Nov 2025.

## Placed in

- World models / [World models for autonomous driving](https://mlsanity.com/wm/world-models-for-autonomous-driving/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 52)

- [Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1512.03385/) (2015)
- [An Image is Worth 16x16 Words: Transformers for Image Recognition at Scale](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.11929/) (2020)
- [GPT-4 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.08774/) (2023)
- [3D Gaussian Splatting for Real-Time Radiance Field Rendering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.04079/) (2023)
- [Adding Conditional Control to Text-to-Image Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.05543/) (2023)
- [SGDR: Stochastic Gradient Descent with Warm Restarts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1608.03983/) (2016)
- [Neural Discrete Representation Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.00937/) (2017)
- [nuScenes: A multimodal dataset for autonomous driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.11027/) (2019)
- [VGGT: Visual Geometry Grounded Transformer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.11651/) (2025)
- [DINOv3](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.10104/) (2025)
- [DETR3D: 3D Object Detection from Multi-view Images via 3D-to-2D Queries](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.06922/) (2021)
- [Tri-Perspective View for Vision-Based 3D Semantic Occupancy Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.07817/) (2023)
- [PETRv2: A Unified Framework for 3D Perception from Multi-Camera Images](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.01256/) (2022)
- [Occ3D: A Large-Scale 3D Occupancy Prediction Benchmark for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.14365/) (2023)
- [Exploring Object-Centric Temporal Modeling for Efficient Multi-View 3D Object Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.11926/) (2023)
- [Is Ego Status All You Need for Open-Loop End-to-End Autonomous Driving?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.03031/) (2023)
- [SparseDrive: End-to-End Autonomous Driving via Sparse Scene Representation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.19620/) (2024)
- [OccWorld: Learning a 3D Occupancy World Model for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.16038/) (2023)
- [Understanding World or Predicting Future? A Comprehensive Survey of World Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.14499/) (2024)
- [FB-OCC: 3D Occupancy Prediction based on Forward-Backward View Transformation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.01492/) (2023)
- [Sparse4D: Multi-view 3D Object Detection with Sparse Spatial-Temporal Fusion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.10581/) (2022)
- [SparseBEV: High-Performance Sparse 3D Object Detection from Multi-Camera Videos](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.09244/) (2023)
- [UniScene: Unified Occupancy-centric Driving Scene Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.05435/) (2024)
- [Visual Point Cloud Forecasting enables Scalable Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.17655/) (2023)
- [SparseOcc: Rethinking Sparse Latent Representation for Vision-Based Semantic Occupancy Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.09502/) (2024)
- [OccLLaMA: An Occupancy-Language-Action Generative World Model for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.03272/) (2024)
- [Point Cloud Forecasting as a Proxy for 4D Occupancy Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.13130/) (2023)
- [OccSora: 4D Occupancy Generation Models as World Simulators for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.20337/) (2024)
- [Driving in the Occupancy World: Vision-Centric 4D Occupancy Forecasting and Planning via World Models for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.14197/) (2024)
- [3D and 4D World Modeling: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.07996/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 4 of 4)

- [Feed-Forward 3D Scene Modeling: A Problem-Driven Perspective](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.14025/) (2026)
- [Height-Guided Projection Reparameterization for Camera-LiDAR Occupancy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.05072/) (2026)
- [LiAuto-GeoX: Efficient Grounded Driving Transformer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.05774/) (2026)
- [GaussianSeed: Hierarchical Gaussian Seeding for High-Resolution 3D Occupancy Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.20071/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

This paper introduces a novel architecture for trajectory-conditioned forecasting of future 3D scene occupancy. In contrast to methods that rely on variational autoencoders (VAEs) to generate discrete occupancy tokens, which inherently limit representational capacity, our approach predicts multi-frame future occupancy in an end-to-end manner directly from raw image features. Inspired by the success of attention-based transformer architectures in foundational vision and language models such as GPT and VGGT, we employ a sparse occupancy representation that bypasses the intermediate bird's eye view (BEV) projection and its explicit geometric priors. This design allows the transformer to capture spatiotemporal dependencies more effectively. By avoiding both the finite-capacity constraint of discrete tokenization and the structural limitations of BEV representations, our method achieves state-of-the-art performance on the nuScenes benchmark for 1-3 second occupancy forecasting, outperforming existing approaches by a significant margin. Furthermore, it demonstrates robust scene dynamics understanding, consistently delivering high accuracy under arbitrary future trajectory conditioning.