# Epistemic Familiarity is Associated With Belief Stability in Large Language Models

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.19166 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.19166/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 19 of its 48 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 24 Nov 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 19 of 19)

- [PyTorch: An Imperative Style, High-Performance Deep Learning Library](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.01703/) (2019)
- [UMAP: Uniform Manifold Approximation and Projection for Dimension Reduction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.03426/) (2018)
- [MMLU-Pro: A More Robust and Challenging Multi-Task Language Understanding Benchmark](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.01574/) (2024)
- [Jailbroken: How Does LLM Safety Training Fail?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.02483/) (2023)
- [A Survey on Hallucination in Large Language Models: Principles, Taxonomy, Challenges, and Open Questions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.05232/) (2023)
- [BERT Rediscovers the Classical NLP Pipeline](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.05950/) (2019)
- [The Geometry of Truth: Emergent Linear Structure in Large Language Model Representations of True/False Datasets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.06824/) (2023)
- [What you can cram into a single vector: Probing sentence embeddings for linguistic properties](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1805.01070/) (2018)
- [Trustworthy LLMs: a Survey and Guideline for Evaluating Large Language Models' Alignment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.05374/) (2023)
- [Larger language models do in-context learning differently](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.03846/) (2023)
- [Measuring and Improving Consistency in Pretrained Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.01017/) (2021)
- [A Review on Language Models as Knowledge Bases](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.06031/) (2022)
- [To Believe or Not to Believe Your LLM](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.02543/) (2024)
- [Truth is Universal: Robust Detection of Lies in LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.12831/) (2024)
- [SPUQ: Perturbation-Based Uncertainty Quantification for Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.02509/) (2024)
- [NNsight and NDIF: Democratizing Access to Open-Weight Foundation Model Internals](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.14561/) (2024)
- [Standards for Belief Representations in LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.21030/) (2024)
- [Firm or Fickle? Evaluating Large Language Models Consistency in Sequential Interactions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.22353/) (2025)
- [The Trilemma of Truth in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.23921/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Toward a Graded Measure of Belief Stability in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.34158/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Large language models (LLMs) are widely used as information sources, yet small changes in semantic assumptions can destabilize their beliefs. We introduce P-StaT (Perturbation Stability of Truth), a framework for evaluating belief stability under matched semantic perturbations in both representational and behavioral settings. Across 21 LLMs and three domains, we compare perturbations involving familiar Fictional statements against synthetically generated and unfamiliar Synthetic statements. Unfamiliar Synthetic perturbations generally induce greater epistemic instability than familiar Fictional perturbations, with behavioral belief retraction rates frequently exceeding 0.5 (50%). Finally, exploratory clustering analyses reveal recurring themes among retracted statements, including ambiguity, technical terminology, and obscure concepts. These results show that epistemic familiarity is systematically associated with stability under semantic reframing, suggesting that stability-based analyses can complement accuracy-based benchmarks when evaluating LLM robustness and reliability. Code and data are available at https://github.com/samanthadies/P-StaT.
