# Uncertainty Calibration of Multi-Label Bird Sound Classifiers

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.08261 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.08261/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 25 of its 46 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 11 Nov 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 25 of 25)

- [Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6980/) (2014)
- [mixup: Beyond Empirical Risk Minimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.09412/) (2017)
- [On Calibration of Modern Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.04599/) (2017)
- [Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02142/) (2015)
- [Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensembles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.01474/) (2016)
- [A ConvNet for the 2020s](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.03545/) (2022)
- [When Does Label Smoothing Help?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.02629/) (2019)
- [This Looks Like That: Deep Learning for Interpretable Image Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.10574/) (2018)
- [Weight Uncertainty in Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1505.05424/) (2015)
- [Simple and Principled Uncertainty Estimation with Deterministic Deep Learning via Distance Awareness](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.10108/) (2020)
- [BEATs: Audio Pre-Training with Acoustic Tokenizers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.09058/) (2022)
- [Beyond temperature scaling: Obtaining well-calibrated multiclass probabilities with Dirichlet calibration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.12656/) (2019)
- [Computational bioacoustics with deep learning: a review and roadmap](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.06725/) (2021)
- [Parameterized Temperature Scaling for Boosting the Expressive Power in Post-Hoc Uncertainty Calibration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.12182/) (2021)
- [BirdSet: A Large-Scale Dataset for Audio Classification in Avian Bioacoustics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.10380/) (2024)
- [Can Masked Autoencoders Also Listen to Birds?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.12880/) (2025)
- [Perch 2.0: The Bittern Lesson for Bioacoustics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.04665/) (2025)
- [Improving Bird Classification with Unsupervised Sound Separation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.03209/) (2021)
- [Two Sides of Miscalibration: Identifying Over and Under-Confidence Prediction for Network Calibration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.03172/) (2023)
- [Foundation Models for Bioacoustics -- a Comparative Review](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.01277/) (2025)
- [AudioProtoPNet: An interpretable deep learning model for bird sound classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.10420/) (2024)
- [All Thresholds Barred: Direct Estimation of Call Density in Bioacoustic Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.15360/) (2024)
- [Uncertainty Calibration for Deep Audio Classifiers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.13071/) (2022)
- [Labels in Extremes: How Well Calibrated are Extreme Multi-label Classifiers?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.04276/) (2024)
- [Propagating Variational Model Uncertainty for Bioacoustic Call Label Smoothing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.10526/) (2022)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Beyond Discrimination: Calibrated Geoprior Fusion for Bioacoustic Monitoring](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.35863/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Passive acoustic monitoring enables large-scale biodiversity assessment, but reliable classification of bioacoustic sounds requires not only high accuracy but also well-calibrated uncertainty estimates to ground decision-making. In bioacoustics, calibration is challenged by overlapping vocalisations, long-tailed species distributions, and distribution shifts between training and deployment data. The calibration of multi-label deep learning classifiers within the domain of bioacoustics has not yet been assessed. We systematically benchmark the calibration of four state-of-the-art multi-label bird sound classifiers on the BirdSet benchmark, evaluating both global, per-dataset and per-class calibration using threshold-free calibration metrics (ECE, MCS) alongside discrimination metrics (cmAP). Model calibration varies significantly across datasets and classes. While Perch v2 and ConvNeXtBS show better global calibration, results vary between datasets. Both models indicate consistent underconfidence, while AudioProtoPNet and BirdMAE are mostly overconfident. Surprisingly, calibration seems to be better for less frequent classes. Using simple post hoc calibration methods we demonstrate a straightforward way to improve calibration. A small labelled calibration set is sufficient to significantly improve calibration with Platt scaling, while global calibration parameters suffer from dataset variability. Our findings highlight the importance of evaluating and improving uncertainty calibration in bioacoustic classifiers.
