# Beyond Observations: Reconstruction Error-Guided Irregularly Sampled Time Series Representation Learning

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.06854 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.06854/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 26 of its 39 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 10 Nov 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 26 of 26)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [One Fits All:Power General Time Series Analysis by Pretrained LM](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.11939/) (2023)
- [CSDI: Conditional Score-based Diffusion Models for Probabilistic Time Series Imputation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.03502/) (2021)
- [Generative Image Inpainting with Contextual Attention](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1801.07892/) (2018)
- [Connecting the Dots: Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Graph Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.11650/) (2020)
- [Recurrent Neural Networks for Multivariate Time Series with Missing Values](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1606.01865/) (2016)
- [Neural Controlled Differential Equations for Irregular Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.08926/) (2020)
- [Future Frame Prediction for Anomaly Detection -- A New Baseline](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1712.09867/) (2017)
- [BRITS: Bidirectional Recurrent Imputation for Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1805.10572/) (2018)
- [Learning Temporal Regularity in Video Sequences](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1604.04574/) (2016)
- [GRU-ODE-Bayes: Continuous modeling of sporadically-observed time series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.12374/) (2019)
- [Statistical Aspects of Wasserstein Distances](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.05500/) (2018)
- [SAITS: Self-Attention-based Imputation for Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.08516/) (2022)
- [Set Functions for Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.12064/) (2019)
- [Graph-Guided Network for Irregularly Sampled Multivariate Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.05357/) (2021)
- [Modeling Irregular Time Series with Continuous Recurrent Units](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.11344/) (2021)
- [Neural Flows: Efficient Alternative to Neural ODEs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.13040/) (2021)
- [Time Series as Images: Vision Transformer for Irregularly Sampled Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.12799/) (2023)
- [Warpformer: A Multi-scale Modeling Approach for Irregular Clinical Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.09368/) (2023)
- [A Survey on Principles, Models and Methods for Learning from Irregularly Sampled Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.00168/) (2020)
- [Joint Modeling of Local and Global Temporal Dynamics for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Missing Values](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.10273/) (2019)
- [Dynamic Gaussian Mixture based Deep Generative Model For Robust Forecasting on Sparse Multivariate Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.02164/) (2021)
- [Improving Missing Data Imputation with Deep Generative Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.10666/) (2019)
- [LIFE: Learning Individual Features for Multivariate Time Series Prediction with Missing Values](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.14844/) (2021)
- [Self-attention-based Diffusion Model for Time-series Imputation in Partial Blackout Scenarios](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.01737/) (2025)
- [PAITS: Pretraining and Augmentation for Irregularly-Sampled Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.13703/) (2023)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [ReTAMamba: Reliability-Aware Temporal Aggregation with Mamba for Irregular Clinical Time Series Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.16380/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Irregularly sampled time series (ISTS), characterized by non-uniform time intervals with natural missingness, are prevalent in real-world applications. Existing approaches for ISTS modeling primarily rely on observed values to impute unobserved ones or infer latent dynamics. However, these methods overlook a critical source of learning signal: the reconstruction error inherently produced during model training. Such error implicitly reflects how well a model captures the underlying data structure and can serve as an informative proxy for unobserved values. To exploit this insight, we propose iTimER, a simple yet effective self-supervised pre-training framework for ISTS representation learning. iTimER models the distribution of reconstruction errors over observed values and generates pseudo-observations for unobserved timestamps through a mixup strategy between sampled errors and the last available observations. This transforms unobserved timestamps into noise-aware training targets, enabling meaningful reconstruction signals. A Wasserstein metric aligns reconstruction error distributions between observed and pseudo-observed regions, while a contrastive learning objective enhances the discriminability of learned representations. Extensive experiments on classification, interpolation, and forecasting tasks demonstrate that iTimER consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods under the ISTS setting.
