# Cross-Treatment Effect Estimation for Multi-Category, Multi-Valued Causal Inference via Dynamic Neural Masking

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.01641 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.01641/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 7 of its 22 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 3 Nov 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 7 of 7)

- [Estimation and Inference of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects using Random Forests](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1510.04342/) (2015)
- [Learning Representations for Counterfactual Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1605.03661/) (2016)
- [Recursive Partitioning for Heterogeneous Causal Effects](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1504.01132/) (2015)
- [Perfect Match: A Simple Method for Learning Representations For Counterfactual Inference With Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.00656/) (2018)
- [NCoRE: Neural Counterfactual Representation Learning for Combinations of Treatments](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.11175/) (2021)
- [M3TN: Multi-gate Mixture-of-Experts based Multi-valued Treatment Network for Uplift Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.14426/) (2024)
- [A Multi-class Ride-hailing Service Subsidy System Utilizing Deep Causal Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.02065/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Counterfactual causal inference faces significant challenges when extended to multi-category, multi-valued treatments, where complex cross-effects between heterogeneous interventions are difficult to model. Existing methodologies remain constrained to binary or single-type treatments and suffer from restrictive assumptions, limited scalability, and inadequate evaluation frameworks for complex intervention scenarios. We present XTNet, a novel network architecture for multi-category, multi-valued treatment effect estimation. Our approach introduces a cross-effect estimation module with dynamic masking mechanisms to capture treatment interactions without restrictive structural assumptions. The architecture employs a decomposition strategy separating basic effects from cross-treatment interactions, enabling efficient modeling of combinatorial treatment spaces. We also propose MCMV-AUCC, a suitable evaluation metric that accounts for treatment costs and interaction effects. Extensive experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that XTNet consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in both ranking accuracy and effect estimation quality. The results of the real-world A/B test further confirm its effectiveness.
