# The Zero-Step Thinking: An Empirical Study of Mode Selection as Harder Early Exit in Reasoning Models

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.19176 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.19176/

## Key facts

- Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Test-time compute and efficient thinking, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning.
- Builds on 34 of its 47 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 22 Oct 2025.

## Placed in

- LLM reasoning / [Test-time compute and efficient thinking](https://mlsanity.com/lr/test-time-compute-and-efficient-thinking/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 34)

- [Training Verifiers to Solve Math Word Problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.14168/) (2021)
- [Qwen3 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.09388/) (2025)
- [DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.12948/) (2025)
- [Self-Consistency Improves Chain of Thought Reasoning in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.11171/) (2022)
- [Measuring Mathematical Problem Solving With the MATH Dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.03874/) (2021)
- [s1: Simple test-time scaling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.19393/) (2025)
- [OpenAI o1 System Card](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.16720/) (2024)
- [Do NOT Think That Much for 2+3=? On the Overthinking of o1-Like LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.21187/) (2024)
- [Stop Overthinking: A Survey on Efficient Reasoning for Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.16419/) (2025)
- [Cognitive Behaviors that Enable Self-Improving Reasoners, or, Four Habits of Highly Effective STaRs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.01307/) (2025)
- [From System 1 to System 2: A Survey of Reasoning Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.17419/) (2025)
- [Dynamic Early Exit in Reasoning Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.15895/) (2025)
- [Reasoning Models Can Be Effective Without Thinking](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.09858/) (2025)
- [When More is Less: Understanding Chain-of-Thought Length in LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.07266/) (2025)
- [Reasoning Models Know When They're Right: Probing Hidden States for Self-Verification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.05419/) (2025)
- [DAST: Difficulty-Adaptive Slow-Thinking for Large Reasoning Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.04472/) (2025)
- [AdaptThink: Reasoning Models Can Learn When to Think](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.13417/) (2025)
- [Towards Thinking-Optimal Scaling of Test-Time Compute for LLM Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.18080/) (2025)
- [Thinkless: LLM Learns When to Think](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.13379/) (2025)
- [Reasoning Models Better Express Their Confidence](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.14489/) (2025)
- [Learning When to Think: Shaping Adaptive Reasoning in R1-Style Models via Multi-Stage RL](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.10832/) (2025)
- [Does Thinking More always Help? Mirage of Test-Time Scaling in Reasoning Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.04210/) (2025)
- [ThinkSwitcher: When to Think Hard, When to Think Fast](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.14183/) (2025)
- [Think or Not? Exploring Thinking Efficiency in Large Reasoning Models via an Information-Theoretic Lens](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.18237/) (2025)
- [Ada-R1: Hybrid-CoT via Bi-Level Adaptive Reasoning Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.21659/) (2025)
- [FlashThink: An Early Exit Method For Efficient Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.13949/) (2025)
- [Dynamic Parametric Retrieval Augmented Generation for Test-time Knowledge Enhancement](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.23895/) (2025)
- [ThinkLess: A Training-Free Inference-Efficient Method for Reducing Reasoning Redundancy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.15684/) (2025)
- [Adaptive Social Learning via Mode Policy Optimization for Language Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.02156/) (2025)
- [QFFT, Question-Free Fine-Tuning for Adaptive Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.12860/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 4 of 4)

- [LYNX: Learning Dynamic Exits for Confidence-Controlled Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.05325/) (2025)
- [Towards Efficient Agents: A Co-Design of Inference Architecture and System](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.18337/) (2025)
- [From P(y|x) to P(y): Investigating Reinforcement Learning in Pre-train Space](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.14142/) (2026)
- [Collapse, Not Complexity: Failure-Conditioned Decomposition Repair for End-to-End Document Parsing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.23592/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Reasoning models have demonstrated exceptional performance in tasks such as mathematics and logical reasoning, primarily due to their ability to engage in step-by-step thinking during the reasoning process. However, this often leads to overthinking, resulting in unnecessary computational overhead. To address this issue, Mode Selection aims to automatically decide between Long-CoT (Chain-of-Thought) or Short-CoT by utilizing either a Thinking or NoThinking mode. Simultaneously, Early Exit determines the optimal stopping point during the iterative reasoning process. Both methods seek to reduce the computational burden. In this paper, we first identify Mode Selection as a more challenging variant of the Early Exit problem, as they share similar objectives but differ in decision timing. While Early Exit focuses on determining the best stopping point for concise reasoning at inference time, Mode Selection must make this decision at the beginning of the reasoning process, relying on pre-defined fake thoughts without engaging in an explicit reasoning process, referred to as zero-step thinking. Through empirical studies on nine baselines, we observe that prompt-based approaches often fail due to their limited classification capabilities when provided with minimal hand-crafted information. In contrast, approaches that leverage internal information generally perform better across most scenarios but still exhibit issues with stability. Our findings indicate that existing methods relying solely on the information provided by models are insufficient for effectively addressing Mode Selection in scenarios with limited information, highlighting the ongoing challenges of this task. Our code is available at https://github.com/Trae1ounG/Zero_Step_Thinking.