# Narrowing Action Choices with AI Improves Human Sequential Decisions

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.16097 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.16097/

## Key facts

- Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 34 of its 50 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 17 Oct 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 34)

- [Playing Atari with Deep Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1312.5602/) (2013)
- [Deep Reinforcement Learning with Double Q-learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1509.06461/) (2015)
- [Dota 2 with Large Scale Deep Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.06680/) (2019)
- [Introduction to Multi-Armed Bandits](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.07272/) (2019)
- [Does the Whole Exceed its Parts? The Effect of AI Explanations on Complementary Team Performance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.14779/) (2020)
- [Effect of Confidence and Explanation on Accuracy and Trust Calibration in AI-Assisted Decision Making](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.02114/) (2020)
- [StarCraft II: A New Challenge for Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1708.04782/) (2017)
- [Consistent Estimators for Learning to Defer to an Expert](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.01862/) (2020)
- [Pre-Trained Language Models for Interactive Decision-Making](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.01771/) (2022)
- [A Closer Look at Invalid Action Masking in Policy Gradient Algorithms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.14171/) (2020)
- [Mastering Complex Control in MOBA Games with Deep Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.09729/) (2019)
- [Counterfactual Off-Policy Evaluation with Gumbel-Max Structural Causal Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.05824/) (2019)
- [The Algorithmic Automation Problem: Prediction, Triage, and Human Effort](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.12220/) (2019)
- [Towards a Science of Human-AI Decision Making: A Survey of Empirical Studies](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.11471/) (2021)
- [Differentiable Learning Under Triage](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.08902/) (2021)
- [Improving Expert Predictions with Conformal Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.12006/) (2022)
- [Classification Under Human Assistance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.11845/) (2020)
- [Regression Under Human Assistance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.02963/) (2019)
- [Combining Human Predictions with Model Probabilities via Confusion Matrices and Calibration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.14591/) (2021)
- [Counterfactual Explanations in Sequential Decision Making Under Uncertainty](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.02776/) (2021)
- [Human-Aligned Calibration for AI-Assisted Decision Making](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.00074/) (2023)
- [Designing Decision Support Systems Using Counterfactual Prediction Sets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.03928/) (2023)
- [Misplaced Trust: Measuring the Interference of Machine Learning in Human Decision-Making](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.10960/) (2020)
- [Towards Human-AI Complementarity with Prediction Sets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.17544/) (2024)
- [The Best Decisions Are Not the Best Advice: Making Adherence-Aware Recommendations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.01874/) (2022)
- [Reinforcement Learning Under Algorithmic Triage](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.11328/) (2021)
- [Improving Human Sequential Decision-Making with Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.08454/) (2021)
- [Auditing for Human Expertise](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.01646/) (2023)
- [A Lipschitz Bandits Approach for Continuous Hyperparameter Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.01539/) (2023)
- [Towards Human-AI Complementarity in Matching Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.13285/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [Autonomous Research Agents: A Survey of AI Scientists and the Verification Gap](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.05179/) (2026)
- [Learning to Decide with AI Assistance under Human-Alignment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.12646/) (2026)
- [Improving Human Performance with Value-Aware Interventions: A Case Study in Chess](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.14465/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Recent work has shown that, in classification tasks, it is possible to design decision support systems that do not require human experts to understand when to cede agency to a classifier or when to exercise their own agency to achieve complementarityunicodex2014experts using these systems make more accurate predictions than those made by the experts or the classifier alone. The key principle underpinning these systems reduces to adaptively controlling the level of human agency, by design. Can we use the same principle to achieve complementarity in sequential decision making tasks? In this paper, we answer this question affirmatively. We develop a decision support system that uses a pre-trained AI agent to narrow down the set of actions a human can take to a subset, and then asks the human to take an action from this action set. Along the way, we also introduce a bandit algorithm that leverages the smoothness properties of the action sets provided by our system to efficiently optimize the level of human agency. To evaluate our decision support system, we conduct a large-scale human subject study (n = 1,600) where participants play a wildfire mitigation game. We find that participants who play the game supported by our system outperform those who play on their own by ~30% and the AI agent used by our system by >2%, even though the AI agent largely outperforms participants playing without support. We have made available the data gathered in our human subject study as well as an open source implementation of our system at https://github.com/Networks-Learning/narrowing-action-choices .
