# AI Agents for the Dhumbal Card Game: A Comparative Study

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.11736 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.11736/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in RL for games and combinatorial optimization, one of 15 directions in Deep reinforcement learning methods.
- Builds on 12 of its 23 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 10 Oct 2025.

## Placed in

- Deep reinforcement learning methods / [RL for games and combinatorial optimization](https://mlsanity.com/deeprl/rl-for-games-and-combinatorial-optimization/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 12 of 12)

- [Proximal Policy Optimization Algorithms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1707.06347/) (2017)
- [Mastering Atari, Go, Chess and Shogi by Planning with a Learned Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.08265/) (2019)
- [QTRAN: Learning to Factorize with Transformation for Cooperative Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.05408/) (2019)
- [Mastering Atari Games with Limited Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.00210/) (2021)
- [The Hanabi Challenge: A New Frontier for AI Research](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.00506/) (2019)
- [Deep Reinforcement Learning from Self-Play in Imperfect-Information Games](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1603.01121/) (2016)
- [Combining Deep Reinforcement Learning and Search for Imperfect-Information Games](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.13544/) (2020)
- [DouZero: Mastering DouDizhu with Self-Play Deep Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.06135/) (2021)
- [RLCard: A Toolkit for Reinforcement Learning in Card Games](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.04376/) (2019)
- [Search in Imperfect Information Games](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.05884/) (2021)
- [Evolving Evaluation Functions for Collectible Card Game AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.01115/) (2021)
- [PyTAG: Tabletop Games for Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.18123/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

This study evaluates Artificial Intelligence (AI) agents for Dhumbal, a culturally significant multiplayer card game with imperfect information, through a systematic comparison of rule-based, search-based, and learning-based strategies. We formalize Dhumbal's mechanics and implement diverse agents, including heuristic approaches (Aggressive, Conservative, Balanced, Opportunistic), search-based methods such as Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) and Information Set Monte Carlo Tree Search (ISMCTS), and reinforcement learning approaches including Deep Q-Network (DQN) and Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO), and a random baseline. Evaluation involves within-category tournaments followed by a cross-category championship. Performance is measured via win rate, economic outcome, Jhyap success, cards discarded per round, risk assessment, and decision efficiency. Statistical significance is assessed using Welch's t-test with Bonferroni correction, effect sizes via Cohen's d, and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Across 1024 simulated rounds, the rule-based Aggressive agent achieves the highest win rate (88.3%, 95% CI: [86.3, 90.3]), outperforming ISMCTS (9.0%) and PPO (1.5%) through effective exploitation of Jhyap declarations. The study contributes a reproducible AI framework, insights into heuristic efficacy under partial information, and open-source code, thereby advancing AI research and supporting digital preservation of cultural games.