# Future-Aware End-to-End Driving: Bidirectional Modeling of Trajectory Planning and Scene Evolution

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.11092 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.11092/

## Key facts

- Cited by 22 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Generative simulation for driving, one of 9 directions in End-to-end autonomous driving.
- Builds on 0 of its 58 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 13 Oct 2025.

## Placed in

- End-to-end autonomous driving / [Generative simulation for driving](https://mlsanity.com/driving/generative-simulation-for-driving/)

## Built on by (most cited first, 22 of 22)

- [VLA-JEPA: Enhancing Vision-Language-Action Model with Latent World Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.10098/) (2026)
- [Driving on Registers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.05083/) (2026)
- [SGDrive: Scene-to-Goal Hierarchical World Cognition for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.05640/) (2026)
- [Vision-Language-Action Models for Autonomous Driving: Past, Present, and Future](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.16760/) (2025)
- [SpaceDrive: Infusing Spatial Awareness into VLM-based Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.10719/) (2025)
- [UniDriveVLA: Unifying Understanding, Perception, and Action Planning for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.02190/) (2026)
- [EponaV2: Driving World Model with Comprehensive Future Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.14696/) (2026)
- [Uni-World VLA: Interleaved World Modeling and Planning for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.27287/) (2026)
- [Metis: A Generalizable and Efficient World-Action Model for Autonomous Driving and Urban Navigation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.15869/) (2026)
- [nuReasoning: A Reasoning-Centric Dataset and Benchmark for Long-Tail Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.31572/) (2026)
- [SimWAM: A Simple World Action Model for End-to-End Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.07468/) (2026)
- [SafeDrive: Fine-Grained Safety Reasoning for End-to-End Driving in a Sparse World](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.18887/) (2026)
- [The DAWN of World-Action Interactive Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.11550/) (2026)
- [Reasoning models do not yet follow their reasoning in autonomous driving: The KITScenes LongTail Dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.23607/) (2026)
- [ProDrive: Proactive Planning for Autonomous Driving via Ego-Environment Co-Evolution](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.25329/) (2026)
- [Zero-Shot Cross-City Generalization in End-to-End Autonomous Driving: Self-Supervised versus Supervised Representations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.11417/) (2026)
- [VLGA: Vision-Language-Geometry-Action Models for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.12396/) (2026)
- [IDOL: Inverse-Dynamics-Guided Future Prediction for End-to-End Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.31476/) (2026)
- [SUV: Future Scene Understanding as Video Generation for End-to-End Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.03084/) (2026)
- [Causality-Aware End-to-End Autonomous Driving via Ego-Centric Joint Scene Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.13646/) (2026)
- [Data-Driven Risk Fields for Safer End-to-End Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.10377/) (2026)
- [FeasibleFlow: One-Step Joint Transport of Configuration Feasibility and Trajectories for End-to-End Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.23488/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

End-to-end autonomous driving methods aim to directly map raw sensor inputs to future driving actions such as planned trajectories, bypassing traditional modular pipelines. While these approaches have shown promise, they often operate under a one-shot paradigm that relies heavily on the current scene context, potentially underestimating the importance of scene dynamics and their temporal evolution. This limitation restricts the model's ability to make informed and adaptive decisions in complex driving scenarios. We propose a new perspective: the future trajectory of an autonomous vehicle is closely intertwined with the evolving dynamics of its environment, and conversely, the vehicle's own future states can influence how the surrounding scene unfolds. Motivated by this bidirectional relationship, we introduce SeerDrive, a novel end-to-end framework that jointly models future scene evolution and trajectory planning in a closed-loop manner. Our method first predicts future bird's-eye view (BEV) representations to anticipate the dynamics of the surrounding scene, then leverages this foresight to generate future-context-aware trajectories. Two key components enable this: (1) future-aware planning, which injects predicted BEV features into the trajectory planner, and (2) iterative scene modeling and vehicle planning, which refines both future scene prediction and trajectory generation through collaborative optimization. Extensive experiments on the NAVSIM and nuScenes benchmarks show that SeerDrive significantly outperforms existing state-of-the-art methods.
