# StatEval: A Comprehensive Benchmark for Large Language Models in Statistics

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.09517 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.09517/

## Key facts

- Cited by 6 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Reasoning benchmarks and evaluation, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning.
- Builds on 52 of its 73 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 10 Oct 2025.

## Placed in

- LLM reasoning / [Reasoning benchmarks and evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/lr/reasoning-benchmarks-and-evaluation/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 52)

- [Language Models are Few-Shot Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.14165/) (2020)
- [LLaMA: Open and Efficient Foundation Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.13971/) (2023)
- [Chain-of-Thought Prompting Elicits Reasoning in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.11903/) (2022)
- [Training Verifiers to Solve Math Word Problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.14168/) (2021)
- [Evaluating Large Language Models Trained on Code](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.03374/) (2021)
- [Direct Preference Optimization: Your Language Model is Secretly a Reward Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.18290/) (2023)
- [Measuring Massive Multitask Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.03300/) (2020)
- [Measuring Mathematical Problem Solving With the MATH Dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.03874/) (2021)
- [Tree of Thoughts: Deliberate Problem Solving with Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.10601/) (2023)
- [DAPO: An Open-Source LLM Reinforcement Learning System at Scale](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.14476/) (2025)
- [OlympiadBench: A Challenging Benchmark for Promoting AGI with Olympiad-Level Bilingual Multimodal Scientific Problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.14008/) (2024)
- [Solving math word problems with process- and outcome-based feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.14275/) (2022)
- [MathVerse: Does Your Multi-modal LLM Truly See the Diagrams in Visual Math Problems?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.14624/) (2024)
- [LLM-Blender: Ensembling Large Language Models with Pairwise Ranking and Generative Fusion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.02561/) (2023)
- [Generative Language Modeling for Automated Theorem Proving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.03393/) (2020)
- [PaperBench: Evaluating AI's Ability to Replicate AI Research](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.01848/) (2025)
- [Omni-MATH: A Universal Olympiad Level Mathematic Benchmark For Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.07985/) (2024)
- [Judging the Judges: A Systematic Study of Position Bias in LLM-as-a-Judge](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.07791/) (2024)
- [MinerU: An Open-Source Solution for Precise Document Content Extraction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.18839/) (2024)
- [Autoformalization with Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.12615/) (2022)
- [Nougat: Neural Optical Understanding for Academic Documents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.13418/) (2023)
- [TheoremQA: A Theorem-driven Question Answering dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.12524/) (2023)
- [AIMO-2 Winning Solution: Building State-of-the-Art Mathematical Reasoning Models with OpenMathReasoning dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.16891/) (2025)
- [PutnamBench: Evaluating Neural Theorem-Provers on the Putnam Mathematical Competition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.11214/) (2024)
- [OpenWebMath: An Open Dataset of High-Quality Mathematical Web Text](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.06786/) (2023)
- [DSBench: How Far Are Data Science Agents from Becoming Data Science Experts?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.07703/) (2024)
- [MathBench: Evaluating the Theory and Application Proficiency of LLMs with a Hierarchical Mathematics Benchmark](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.12209/) (2024)
- [Are LLMs Capable of Data-based Statistical and Causal Reasoning? Benchmarking Advanced Quantitative Reasoning with Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.17644/) (2024)
- [Parallel-R1: Towards Parallel Thinking via Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.07980/) (2025)
- [An Analysis of Fusion Functions for Hybrid Retrieval](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.11934/) (2022)

## Built on by (most cited first, 6 of 6)

- [DSGym: A Holistic Framework for Evaluating and Training Data Science Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.16344/) (2026)
- [The CompMath-MCQ Dataset: Are LLMs Ready for Higher-Level Math?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.03334/) (2026)
- [StatABench: Dataset and Framework for Evaluating Statistical Analysis Capabilities of LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.22977/) (2026)
- [Benchmarking Language Models for Statistical Problem Formulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.01982/) (2026)
- [Large-scale factor analysis shows machine intelligence is only partially interpretable](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.36515/) (2026)
- [ACED-Bench: Evaluating How LLM Agents Acquire and Act on Causal Evidence](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.14381/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Despite rapid advances in large language models (LLMs), statistical reasoning remains underrepresented in existing LLM benchmarks, which often do not reflect the layered, proof-driven nature of real statistical practice. To address this gap, we introduce StatEval, the first large-scale benchmark for statistical reasoning across curricular and research-level settings. StatEval includes over 100,000 curated problems, with 20,000+ foundational questions spanning undergraduate and graduate curricula and 80,000+ research-level proof tasks extracted from leading statistical journals. To construct StatEval, we develop TRACE (Topology and Reasoning-Aware Context Extractor), a multi-agent pipeline with human-in-the-loop validation that converts unstructured academic texts into self-contained theorem-level reasoning tasks. We also propose an Adaptive Process-Based Scoring Pipeline for complex statistical proofs, enabling fine-grained evaluation beyond final-answer matching. Experiments show that while LLMs perform reasonably on foundational tasks, they struggle with rigorous research-level reasoning. Beyond evaluation, StatEval serves as a resource for improving reasoning, as retrieval-augmented generation and domain-specific alignment consistently enhance performance. Together, these results establish StatEval as both a benchmark and an infrastructure for advancing statistical reasoning in LLMs.
