# IRIS: An Iterative and Integrated Framework for Verifiable Causal Discovery in the Absence of Tabular Data

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.09217 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.09217/

## Key facts

- Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 20 of its 67 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 10 Oct 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 20 of 20)

- [Retrieval-Augmented Generation for Knowledge-Intensive NLP Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.11401/) (2020)
- [Self-RAG: Learning to Retrieve, Generate, and Critique through Self-Reflection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.11511/) (2023)
- [DAGs with NO TEARS: Continuous Optimization for Structure Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.01422/) (2018)
- [Causal Reasoning and Large Language Models: Opening a New Frontier for Causality](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.00050/) (2023)
- [The Unlocking Spell on Base LLMs: Rethinking Alignment via In-Context Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.01552/) (2023)
- [Learning Bayesian Networks: The Combination of Knowledge and Statistical Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1302.6815/) (2013)
- [Causal Parrots: Large Language Models May Talk Causality But Are Not Causal](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.13067/) (2023)
- [Revisiting Relation Extraction in the era of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.05003/) (2023)
- [SciFact-Open: Towards open-domain scientific claim verification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.13777/) (2022)
- [Can large language models build causal graphs?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.05279/) (2023)
- [Can LLMs Produce Faithful Explanations For Fact-checking? Towards Faithful Explainable Fact-Checking via Multi-Agent Debate](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.07401/) (2024)
- [Explainable Claim Verification via Knowledge-Grounded Reasoning with Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.05253/) (2023)
- [Claim Detection for Automated Fact-checking: A Survey on Monolingual, Multilingual and Cross-Lingual Research](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.11969/) (2024)
- [A Review on Fact Extraction and Verification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.03001/) (2020)
- [CoVERT: A Corpus of Fact-checked Biomedical COVID-19 Tweets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.12164/) (2022)
- [Less is More: Mitigate Spurious Correlations for Open-Domain Dialogue Response Generation Models by Causal Discovery](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.01962/) (2023)
- [CHECKWHY: Causal Fact Verification via Argument Structure](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.10918/) (2024)
- [FactFinders at CheckThat! 2024: Refining Check-worthy Statement Detection with LLMs through Data Pruning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.18297/) (2024)
- [Unsupervised Pretraining for Fact Verification by Language Model Distillation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.16540/) (2023)
- [CausalScore: An Automatic Reference-Free Metric for Assessing Response Relevance in Open-Domain Dialogue Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.17300/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 2 of 2)

- [Consistency evaluation of benchmarks used for causal discovery](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.01789/) (2026)
- [Implicit Causal Graph Construction in Text via Chain Discovery](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.07525/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Causal discovery is fundamental to scientific research, yet traditional statistical algorithms face significant challenges, including expensive data collection, redundant computation for known relations, and unrealistic assumptions. While recent LLM-based methods excel at identifying commonly known causal relations, they fail to uncover novel relations. We introduce IRIS (Iterative Retrieval and Integrated System for Real-Time Causal Discovery), a novel framework that addresses these limitations. Starting with a set of initial variables, IRIS automatically collects relevant documents, extracts variables, and uncovers causal relations. Our hybrid causal discovery method combines statistical algorithms and LLM-based methods to discover known and novel causal relations. In addition to causal discovery on initial variables, the missing variable proposal component of IRIS identifies and incorporates missing variables to expand the causal graphs. Our approach enables real-time causal discovery from only a set of initial variables without requiring pre-existing datasets.
