# Physics-Informed High-order Graph Dynamics Identification Learning for Predicting Complex Networks Long-term Dynamics

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.09082 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.09082/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 16 of its 30 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 10 Oct 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 16 of 16)

- [Graph Attention Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.10903/) (2017)
- [Auto-Encoding Variational Bayes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1312.6114/) (2013)
- [Neural Ordinary Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.07366/) (2018)
- [Hypergraph Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1809.09401/) (2018)
- [Neural Relational Inference for Interacting Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.04687/) (2018)
- [Deep Hidden Physics Models: Deep Learning of Nonlinear Partial Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1801.06637/) (2018)
- [Graph Neural Controlled Differential Equations for Traffic Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.03558/) (2021)
- [Koopa: Learning Non-stationary Time Series Dynamics with Koopman Predictors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.18803/) (2023)
- [Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Dynamic Graph Neural ODEs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.08408/) (2022)
- [PINNsFormer: A Transformer-Based Framework For Physics-Informed Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.11833/) (2023)
- [Neural Dynamics on Complex Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.06491/) (2019)
- [Generalizing Graph ODE for Learning Complex System Dynamics across Environments](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.04287/) (2023)
- [Deep learning of contagion dynamics on complex networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.05410/) (2020)
- [Dynamic Hypergraph Structure Learning for Traffic Flow Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.12028/) (2023)
- [MSHyper: Multi-Scale Hypergraph Transformer for Long-Range Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.09261/) (2024)
- [Predicting Long-term Dynamics of Complex Networks via Identifying Skeleton in Hyperbolic Space](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.09845/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Learning complex network dynamics is fundamental to understanding, modelling and controlling real-world complex systems. There are two main problems in the task of predicting the dynamic evolution of complex networks: on the one hand, existing methods usually use simple graphs to describe the relationships in complex networks; however, this approach can only capture pairwise relationships, while there may be rich non-pairwise structured relationships in the network. First-order GNNs have difficulty in capturing dynamic non-pairwise relationships. On the other hand, theoretical prediction models lack accuracy and data-driven prediction models lack interpretability. To address the above problems, this paper proposes a higher-order network dynamics identification method for long-term dynamic prediction of complex networks. Firstly, to address the problem that traditional graph machine learning can only deal with pairwise relations, dynamic hypergraph learning is introduced to capture the higher-order non-pairwise relations among complex networks and improve the accuracy of complex network modelling. Then, a dual-driven dynamic prediction module for physical data is proposed. The Koopman operator theory is introduced to transform the nonlinear dynamical differential equations for the dynamic evolution of complex networks into linear systems for solving. Meanwhile, the physical information neural differential equation method is utilised to ensure that the dynamic evolution conforms to the physical laws. The dual-drive dynamic prediction module ensures both accuracy and interpretability of the prediction. Validated on public datasets and self-built industrial chain network datasets, the experimental results show that the method in this paper has good prediction accuracy and long-term prediction performance.
