# Beyond Real Data: Synthetic Data through the Lens of Regularization

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.08095 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.08095/

## Key facts

- Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 82 of its 133 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 9 Oct 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 82)

- [Learning Transferable Visual Models From Natural Language Supervision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.00020/) (2021)
- [Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.11239/) (2020)
- [Distilling the Knowledge in a Neural Network](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1503.02531/) (2015)
- [Score-Based Generative Modeling through Stochastic Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.13456/) (2020)
- [Flow Matching for Generative Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.02747/) (2022)
- [Analyzing and Improving the Image Quality of StyleGAN](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.04958/) (2019)
- [Domain-Adversarial Training of Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1505.07818/) (2015)
- [RandAugment: Practical automated data augmentation with a reduced search space](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.13719/) (2019)
- [Understanding deep learning requires rethinking generalization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1611.03530/) (2016)
- [Do ImageNet Classifiers Generalize to ImageNet?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.10811/) (2019)
- [A Comprehensive Survey on Transfer Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.02685/) (2019)
- [Revisiting Unreasonable Effectiveness of Data in Deep Learning Era](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1707.02968/) (2017)
- [Diffusion Schr"odinger Bridge with Applications to Score-Based Generative Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.01357/) (2021)
- [Train faster, generalize better: Stability of stochastic gradient descent](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1509.01240/) (2015)
- [Benign Overfitting in Linear Regression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.11300/) (2019)
- [A Survey of Unsupervised Deep Domain Adaptation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.02849/) (2018)
- [Bridging Theory and Algorithm for Domain Adaptation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.05801/) (2019)
- [Adversarially Robust Generalization Requires More Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1804.11285/) (2018)
- [Learning from Simulated and Unsupervised Images through Adversarial Training](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.07828/) (2016)
- [Effective Data Augmentation With Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.07944/) (2023)
- [Self-Consuming Generative Models Go MAD](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.01850/) (2023)
- [Non-convex learning via Stochastic Gradient Langevin Dynamics: a nonasymptotic analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1702.03849/) (2017)
- [GAN-based Synthetic Medical Image Augmentation for increased CNN Performance in Liver Lesion Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.01229/) (2018)
- [Does Knowledge Distillation Really Work?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.05945/) (2021)
- [To understand deep learning we need to understand kernel learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.01396/) (2018)
- [Data Mixing Laws: Optimizing Data Mixtures by Predicting Language Modeling Performance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.16952/) (2024)
- [Fake it till you make it: Learning transferable representations from synthetic ImageNet clones](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.08420/) (2022)
- [Is Model Collapse Inevitable? Breaking the Curse of Recursion by Accumulating Real and Synthetic Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.01413/) (2024)
- [A Primer on PAC-Bayesian Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1901.05353/) (2019)
- [Machine Learning for Synthetic Data Generation: A Review](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.04062/) (2023)

## Built on by (most cited first, 2 of 2)

- [A Survey of Inductive Reasoning for Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.10182/) (2025)
- [When Sample Selection Bias Precipitates Model Collapse](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.13732/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Synthetic data can improve generalization when real data is scarce, but excessive reliance may introduce distributional mismatches that degrade performance. In this paper, we present a learning-theoretic framework to quantify the trade-off between synthetic and real data. Our approach leverages algorithmic stability to derive generalization error bounds, characterizing the optimal synthetic-to-real data ratio that minimizes expected test error as a function of the Wasserstein distance between the real and synthetic distributions. We motivate our framework in the setting of kernel ridge regression with mixed data, offering a detailed analysis that may be of independent interest. Our theory predicts the existence of an optimal ratio, leading to a U-shaped behavior of test error with respect to the proportion of synthetic data. Empirically, we validate this prediction on CIFAR-10 and a clinical brain MRI dataset. Our theory extends to the important scenario of domain adaptation, showing that carefully blending synthetic target data with limited source data can mitigate domain shift and enhance generalization. We conclude with practical guidance for applying our results to both in-domain and out-of-domain scenarios.
