# TS-Agent: Understanding and Reasoning Over Raw Time Series via Iterative Insight Gathering

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.07432 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.07432/

## Key facts

- Cited by 9 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Time series reasoning, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning.
- Builds on 12 of its 26 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 8 Oct 2025.

## Placed in

- LLM reasoning / [Time series reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/lr/time-series-reasoning/)
- LLM agents and tool use / [Financial trading and forecasting agents](https://mlsanity.com/agents/financial-trading-and-forecasting-agents/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 12 of 12)

- [Time Series Forecasting With Deep Learning: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.13408/) (2020)
- [Large Language Models for Time Series: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.01801/) (2024)
- [ChatTS: Aligning Time Series with LLMs via Synthetic Data for Enhanced Understanding and Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.03104/) (2024)
- [Language Models Still Struggle to Zero-shot Reason about Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.11757/) (2024)
- [Time-MQA: Time Series Multi-Task Question Answering with Context Enhancement](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.01875/) (2025)
- [Time-VLM: Exploring Multimodal Vision-Language Models for Augmented Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.04395/) (2025)
- [MTBench: A Multimodal Time Series Benchmark for Temporal Reasoning and Question Answering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.16858/) (2025)
- [TimeSeriesExam: A time series understanding exam](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.14752/) (2024)
- [Evaluating Large Language Models on Time Series Feature Understanding: A Comprehensive Taxonomy and Benchmark](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.16563/) (2024)
- [TS-Reasoner: Domain-Oriented Time Series Inference Agents for Reasoning and Automated Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.04047/) (2024)
- [TimeSeriesScientist: A General-Purpose AI Agent for Time Series Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.01538/) (2025)
- [Achieving Time Series Reasoning Requires Rethinking Model Design, Tasks Formulation, and Evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.01477/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 9 of 9)

- [HEARTS: Benchmarking LLM Reasoning on Health Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.06638/) (2026)
- [TimeClaw: A Time-Series AI Agent with Exploratory Execution Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.10038/) (2026)
- [From paper to benchmark: agentic, framework-based reproduction of under-specified methods in machine health intelligence](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.28371/) (2026)
- [TSQAgent: Rating Time Series Data Quality via Dedicated Agentic Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.03629/) (2026)
- [Towards Verifiable Agentic Data Science: Solving Irregular TSQA Via Tool-Grounded Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.15107/) (2026)
- [T-SMART: Mechanism-Level Attribution for Tool-Augmented Time-Series Question Answering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.14142/) (2026)
- [OpenTSLM TeeMoE: A Unified Time-Series Language Model for Forecasting, Contextual Prediction, and Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.40265/) (2026)
- [EvoCast: Reliable Autonomous Research Agents for Iterative Forecasting Architecture Evolution](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.04517/) (2026)
- [Zero-Shot Time-Series Question Answering via Decoupled Perception and Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.04942/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Large language models (LLMs) exhibit strong symbolic and compositional reasoning, yet they struggle with time series question answering as the data is typically transformed into an LLM-compatible modality, e.g., serialized text, plotted images, or compressed time series embeddings. Such conversions impose representation bottlenecks, often require cross-modal alignment or finetuning, and can exacerbate hallucination and knowledge leakage. To address these limitations, we propose TS-Agent, an agentic, tool-grounded framework that uses LLMs strictly for iterative evidence-based reasoning, while delegating statistical and structural extraction to time series analytical tools operating on raw sequences. Our framework solves time series tasks through an evidence-driven agentic process: (1) it alternates between thinking, tool execution, and observation in a ReAct-style loop, (2) records intermediate results in an explicit evidence log and corrects the reasoning trace via a self-refinement critic, and (3) enforces a final answer-verification step to prevent hallucinations and leakage. Across four benchmarks spanning time series understanding and reasoning, TS-Agent matches or exceeds strong text-based, vision-based, and time-series language model baselines, with the largest gains on reasoning tasks where multimodal LLMs are prone to hallucination and knowledge leakage in zero-shot settings.