# Dynamic Regret Bounds for Online Omniprediction with Long Term Constraints

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.07266 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.07266/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 22 of its 39 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 8 Oct 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 22 of 22)

- [Calibrating Predictions to Decisions: A Novel Approach to Multi-Class Calibration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.05719/) (2021)
- [Loss Minimization through the Lens of Outcome Indistinguishability](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.08649/) (2022)
- [Online Convex Optimization with Time-Varying Constraints](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1702.04783/) (2017)
- [U-Calibration: Forecasting for an Unknown Agent](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.00168/) (2023)
- [An Online Convex Optimization Approach to Dynamic Network Resource Allocation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1701.03974/) (2017)
- [A Unifying Framework for Online Optimization with Long-Term Constraints](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.07454/) (2022)
- [Stronger Calibration Lower Bounds via Sidestepping](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.03454/) (2020)
- [Optimal Algorithms for Online Convex Optimization with Adversarial Constraints](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.18955/) (2023)
- [Near-Optimal Algorithms for Omniprediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.17205/) (2025)
- [Swap Agnostic Learning, or Characterizing Omniprediction via Multicalibration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.06726/) (2023)
- [Forecasting for Swap Regret for All Downstream Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.08753/) (2024)
- [Bandit Convex Optimization for Scalable and Dynamic IoT Management](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1707.09060/) (2017)
- [Omnipredictors for Regression and the Approximate Rank of Convex Functions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.14645/) (2024)
- [Distributed Online Convex Optimization with Adversarial Constraints: Reduced Cumulative Constraint Violation Bounds under Slater's Condition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.00149/) (2023)
- [Sample Efficient Omniprediction and Downstream Swap Regret for Non-Linear Losses](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.12564/) (2025)
- [From Fairness to Infinity: Outcome-Indistinguishable (Omni)Prediction in Evolving Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.17582/) (2024)
- [Simultaneously Achieving Sublinear Regret and Constraint Violations for Online Convex Optimization with Time-varying Constraints](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.07707/) (2021)
- [An Optimistic Algorithm for Online Convex Optimization with Adversarial Constraints](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.08060/) (2024)
- [Gradient-Variation Bound for Online Convex Optimization with Constraints](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.12455/) (2020)
- [Lazy Lagrangians with Predictions for Online Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.02890/) (2022)
- [On Dynamic Regret and Constraint Violations in Constrained Online Convex Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.09808/) (2023)
- [Online Omniprediction with Long-Term Constraints](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.11357/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We present an algorithm guaranteeing dynamic regret bounds for online omniprediction with long term constraints. The goal in this recently introduced problem is for a learner to generate a sequence of predictions which are broadcast to a collection of downstream decision makers. Each decision maker has their own utility function, as well as a vector of constraint functions, each mapping their actions and an adversarially selected state to reward or constraint violation terms. The downstream decision makers select actions "as if" the state predictions are correct, and the goal of the learner is to produce predictions such that all downstream decision makers choose actions that give them worst-case utility guarantees while minimizing worst-case constraint violation. Within this framework, we give the first algorithm that obtains simultaneous dynamic regret guarantees for all of the agents -- where regret for each agent is measured against a potentially changing sequence of actions across rounds of interaction, while also ensuring vanishing constraint violation for each agent. Our results do not require the agents themselves to maintain any state -- they only solve one-round constrained optimization problems defined by the prediction made at that round.
