# Wide Neural Networks as a Baseline for the Computational No-Coincidence Conjecture

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.06527 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.06527/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 12 of its 19 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 8 Oct 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 12 of 12)

- [Delving Deep into Rectifiers: Surpassing Human-Level Performance on ImageNet Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1502.01852/) (2015)
- [Steering Language Models With Activation Engineering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.10248/) (2023)
- [Deep Neural Networks as Gaussian Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.00165/) (2017)
- [Improving Alignment and Robustness with Circuit Breakers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.04313/) (2024)
- [Exponential expressivity in deep neural networks through transient chaos](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1606.05340/) (2016)
- [Deep ReLU Networks Have Surprisingly Few Activation Patterns](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.00904/) (2019)
- [Detecting Strategic Deception Using Linear Probes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.03407/) (2025)
- [Planting Undetectable Backdoors in Machine Learning Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.06974/) (2022)
- [Neural Redshift: Random Networks are not Random Functions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.02241/) (2024)
- [Gradient Routing: Masking Gradients to Localize Computation in Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.04332/) (2024)
- [Backdoor defense, learnability and obfuscation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.03077/) (2024)
- [Pseudorandomness Properties of Random Reversible Circuits](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.07159/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Estimating the expected output of wide random MLPs more efficiently than sampling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.05179/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We establish that randomly initialized neural networks, with large width and a natural choice of hyperparameters, have nearly independent outputs exactly when their activation function is nonlinear with zero mean under the Gaussian measure: mathbbEz ~ N(0,1)[σ(z)]=0. For example, this includes ReLU and GeLU with an additive shift, as well as tanh, but not ReLU or GeLU by themselves. Because of their nearly independent outputs, we propose neural networks with zero-mean activation functions as a promising candidate for the Alignment Research Center's computational no-coincidence conjecture -- a conjecture that aims to measure the limits of AI interpretability.
