# Optimal placement of wind farms via quantile constraint learning

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.01093 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.01093/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 4 of its 39 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 1 Oct 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 4 of 4)

- [Mixed-Integer Optimization with Constraint Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.04469/) (2021)
- [Optimization with Constraint Learning: A Framework and Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.02121/) (2021)
- [Input Convex Neural Networks for Optimal Voltage Regulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.08684/) (2020)
- [An efficient solver for large-scale onshore wind farm siting including cable routing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.09658/) (2023)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Wind farm placement arranges the size and the location of multiple wind farms within a given region. The power output is highly related to the wind speed on spatial and temporal levels, which can be modeled by advanced data-driven approaches. To this end, we use a probabilistic neural network as a surrogate that accounts for the spatiotemporal correlations of wind speed. This neural network uses ReLU activation functions so that it can be reformulated as mixed-integer linear set of constraints (constraint learning). We embed these constraints into the placement decision problem, formulated as a two-stage stochastic optimization problem. Specifically, conditional quantiles of the total electricity production are regarded as recursive decisions in the second stage. We use real high-resolution regional data from a northern region in Spain. We validate that the constraint learning approach outperforms the classical bilinear interpolation method. Numerical experiments are implemented on risk-averse investors. The results indicate that risk-averse investors concentrate on dominant sites with strong wind, while exhibiting spatial diversification and sensitive capacity spread in non-dominant sites. Furthermore, we show that if we introduce transmission line costs in the problem, risk-averse investors favor locations closer to the substations. On the contrary, risk-neutral investors are willing to move to further locations to achieve higher expected profits. Our results conclude that the proposed novel approach is able to tackle a portfolio of regional wind farm placements and further provide guidance for risk-averse investors.