# A Neuro-Fuzzy System for Interpretable Long-Term Stock Market Forecasting

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.00960 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.00960/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 8 of its 19 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 1 Oct 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 8 of 8)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [Are Transformers Effective for Time Series Forecasting?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.13504/) (2022)
- [Temporal Fusion Transformers for Interpretable Multi-horizon Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.09363/) (2019)
- [Clustering with Deep Learning: Taxonomy and New Methods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1801.07648/) (2018)
- [Exploring Interpretable LSTM Neural Networks over Multi-Variable Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.12034/) (2019)
- [Forecasting directional movements of stock prices for intraday trading using LSTM and random forests](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.10178/) (2020)
- [Deep Embedded K-Means Clustering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.15149/) (2021)
- [Deep clustering with fusion autoencoder](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.04727/) (2022)

## Abstract (arXiv)

In the complex landscape of multivariate time series forecasting, achieving both accuracy and interpretability remains a significant challenge. This paper introduces the Fuzzy Transformer (Fuzzformer), a novel recurrent neural network architecture combined with multi-head self-attention and fuzzy inference systems to analyze multivariate stock market data and conduct long-term time series forecasting. The method leverages LSTM networks and temporal attention to condense multivariate data into interpretable features suitable for fuzzy inference systems. The resulting architecture offers comparable forecasting performance to conventional models such as ARIMA and LSTM while providing meaningful information flow within the network. The method was examined on the real world stock market index S&P500. Initial results show potential for interpretable forecasting and identify current performance tradeoffs, suggesting practical application in understanding and forecasting stock market behavior.
