# NeurIPS should lead scientific consensus on AI policy

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.00075 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.00075/

## Key facts

- Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 14 of its 31 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 30 Sep 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 14 of 14)

- [AI and the Everything in the Whole Wide World Benchmark](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.15366/) (2021)
- [Measurement and Fairness](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.05511/) (2019)
- [The Malicious Use of Artificial Intelligence: Forecasting, Prevention, and Mitigation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.07228/) (2018)
- [The Foundation Model Transparency Index](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.12941/) (2023)
- [A Safe Harbor for AI Evaluation and Red Teaming](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.04893/) (2024)
- [Toward an Evaluation Science for Generative AI Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.05336/) (2025)
- [What Do NLP Researchers Believe? Results of the NLP Community Metasurvey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.12852/) (2022)
- [On the Limitations of Compute Thresholds as a Governance Strategy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.05694/) (2024)
- [Training Compute Thresholds: Features and Functions in AI Regulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.10799/) (2024)
- [Pitfalls of Evidence-Based AI Policy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.09618/) (2025)
- [Responsible Reporting for Frontier AI Development](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.02675/) (2024)
- [The Role of Governments in Increasing Interconnected Post-Deployment Monitoring of AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.04931/) (2024)
- [Advancing Science- and Evidence-based AI Policy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.02748/) (2025)
- [Practical Principles for AI Cost and Compute Accounting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.15873/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [NeurIPS Should Require Reproducibility Standards for Frontier AI Safety Claims](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.08192/) (2026)
- [AI Researchers Must Help Lead Arms Control to Mitigate Military AI Risks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.11533/) (2026)
- [An Investigation of the NeurIPS and ICML 2025 Position Tracks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.16894/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Designing wise AI policy is a grand challenge for society. To design such policy, policymakers should place a premium on rigorous evidence and scientific consensus. While several mechanisms exist for evidence generation, and nascent mechanisms tackle evidence synthesis, we identify a complete void on consensus formation. In this position paper, we argue NeurIPS should actively catalyze scientific consensus on AI policy. Beyond identifying the current deficit in consensus formation mechanisms, we argue that NeurIPS is the best option due its strengths and the paucity of compelling alternatives. To make progress, we recommend initial pilots for NeurIPS by distilling lessons from the IPCC's leadership to build scientific consensus on climate policy. We dispel predictable counters that AI researchers disagree too much to achieve consensus and that policy engagement is not the business of NeurIPS. NeurIPS leads AI on many fronts, and it should champion scientific consensus to create higher quality AI policy.
