# Agentar-Scale-SQL: Advancing Text-to-SQL through Orchestrated Test-Time Scaling

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.24403 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.24403/

## Key facts

- Cited by 24 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Knowledge- and tool-augmented reasoning, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning.
- Builds on 20 of its 42 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 29 Sep 2025.

## Placed in

- LLM reasoning / [Knowledge- and tool-augmented reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/lr/knowledge-and-tool-augmented-reasoning/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 20 of 20)

- [DeepSeekMath: Pushing the Limits of Mathematical Reasoning in Open Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.03300/) (2024)
- [Scaling Laws for Neural Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.08361/) (2020)
- [DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.12948/) (2025)
- [Gemini 2.5: Pushing the Frontier with Advanced Reasoning, Multimodality, Long Context, and Next Generation Agentic Capabilities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.06261/) (2025)
- [Scaling LLM Test-Time Compute Optimally can be More Effective than Scaling Model Parameters](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.03314/) (2024)
- [OpenAI o1 System Card](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.16720/) (2024)
- [Qwen2.5-Coder Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.12186/) (2024)
- [A Survey on Test-Time Scaling in Large Language Models: What, How, Where, and How Well?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.24235/) (2025)
- [C3: Zero-shot Text-to-SQL with ChatGPT](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.07306/) (2023)
- [OmniSQL: Synthesizing High-quality Text-to-SQL Data at Scale](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.02240/) (2025)
- [Reasoning-SQL: Reinforcement Learning with SQL Tailored Partial Rewards for Reasoning-Enhanced Text-to-SQL](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.23157/) (2025)
- [A Survey of Text-to-SQL in the Era of LLMs: Where are we, and where are we going?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.05109/) (2024)
- [XiYan-SQL: A Novel Multi-Generator Framework For Text-to-SQL](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.04701/) (2025)
- [Arctic-Text2SQL-R1: Simple Rewards, Strong Reasoning in Text-to-SQL](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.20315/) (2025)
- [Alpha-SQL: Zero-Shot Text-to-SQL using Monte Carlo Tree Search](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.17248/) (2025)
- [SQLBench: A Comprehensive Evaluation for Text-to-SQL Capabilities of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.02951/) (2024)
- [Reward-SQL: Boosting Text-to-SQL via Stepwise Execution-Aware Reasoning and Process-Supervised Rewards](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.04671/) (2025)
- [Automatic Metadata Extraction for Text-to-SQL](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.19988/) (2025)
- [CSC-SQL: Corrective Self-Consistency in Text-to-SQL via Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.13271/) (2025)
- [A State-of-the-Art SQL Reasoning Model using RLVR](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.21459/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 24 of 24)

- [Arming Data Agents with Tribal Knowledge](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.13521/) (2026)
- [Text2GraphQuery-Bench: A Text to Graph Query Benchmark](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.11745/) (2026)
- [TRUST-SQL: Tool-Integrated Multi-Turn Reinforcement Learning for Text-to-SQL over Unknown Schemas](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.16448/) (2026)
- [ELT-Bench-Verified: Benchmark Quality Issues Underestimate AI Agent Capabilities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.29399/) (2026)
- [Human-Level Text-to-SQL via Reinforcement Learning on Verified Data, Without Pipeline Engineering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.20004/) (2026)
- [R3-SQL: Ranking Reward and Resampling for Text-to-SQL](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.25325/) (2026)
- [Every Step Counts: Step-Level Credit Assignment for Tool-Integrated Text-to-SQL](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.04719/) (2026)
- [TAHOE: Text-to-SQL with Automated Hint Optimization from Experience](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.12387/) (2026)
- [SQLConductor: Search-to-Policy Learning for Step-wise Text-to-SQL Orchestration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.23537/) (2026)
- [IESR:Efficient MCTS-Based Modular Reasoning for Text-to-SQL with Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.05385/) (2026)
- [Dial: A Knowledge-Grounded Dialect-Specific NL2SQL System](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.07449/) (2026)
- [SIRIUS-SQL: Anchoring Multi-Candidate Text-to-SQL in Execution Feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.01246/) (2026)
- [Data Intelligence Agents: Interpreting, Modeling, and Querying Enterprise Data via Autonomous Coding Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.19319/) (2026)
- [SERL-SQL: Selective Hindsight Distillation for Text-to-SQL Reinforcement Agentic Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.00485/) (2026)
- [ReToolSQL: Agentic Reinforcement Learning for Robust Text-to-SQL](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.27796/) (2026)
- [Are These Modules Worth Their Cost? A Paradigm-Level Accuracy-Cost Analysis of In-context Learning Text-to-SQL](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.28432/) (2026)
- [Evaluating LLMs on Conversational Text-to-SQL under Chain Ambiguity and Intent Drift](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.29543/) (2026)
- [Replacing Training with Memory: Listwise Selection for Text-to-SQL](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.00834/) (2026)
- [A Cost-Aware Agentic Architecture for NL-to-SQL over Nested Enterprise Schemas, with a New Benchmark](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.04641/) (2026)
- [DualSQL: Text-to-SQL with Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.18135/) (2026)
- [LIMIT: Less Is More for Instruction Tuning in Text-to-SQL](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.24186/) (2026)
- [AptMQL-Bench: From Text-to-SQL to Text-to-MQL via Access-Pattern Schema Design and Data-Preserving Migration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.02770/) (2026)
- [Why, Where, How: Taxonomy-guided Error Grounding for Code Repair in NL2SQL](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.05060/) (2026)
- [ARCS: Towards Precise Text-to-SQL via Structured Disambiguation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.09396/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

State-of-the-art (SOTA) Text-to-SQL methods still lag significantly behind human experts on challenging benchmarks like BIRD. Current approaches that explore test-time scaling lack an orchestrated strategy and neglect the model's internal reasoning process. To bridge this gap, we introduce Agentar-Scale-SQL, a novel framework leveraging scalable computation to improve performance. Agentar-Scale-SQL implements an Orchestrated Test-Time Scaling strategy that synergistically combines three distinct perspectives: i) Internal Scaling via RL-enhanced Intrinsic Reasoning, ii) Sequential Scaling through Iterative Refinement, and iii) Parallel Scaling using Diverse Synthesis and Tournament Selection. Agentar-Scale-SQL is a general-purpose framework designed for easy adaptation to new databases and more powerful language models. Extensive experiments show that Agentar-Scale-SQL achieves SOTA performance on the BIRD benchmark, reaching 81.67% execution accuracy on the test set and ranking first on the official leaderboard, demonstrating an effective path toward human-level performance.