# ASTGI: Adaptive Spatio-Temporal Graph Interactions for Irregular Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.23313 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.23313/

## Key facts

- Cited by 8 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 62 of its 94 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 27 Sep 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 62)

- [A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.14730/) (2022)
- [Recurrent Neural Networks for Multivariate Time Series with Missing Values](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1606.01865/) (2016)
- [Follow Your Pose: Pose-Guided Text-to-Video Generation using Pose-Free Videos](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.01186/) (2023)
- [MACE: Mass Concept Erasure in Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.06135/) (2024)
- [TFB: Towards Comprehensive and Fair Benchmarking of Time Series Forecasting Methods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.20150/) (2024)
- [Multi-Time Attention Networks for Irregularly Sampled Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.10318/) (2021)
- [GRU-ODE-Bayes: Continuous modeling of sporadically-observed time series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.12374/) (2019)
- [TF-ICON: Diffusion-Based Training-Free Cross-Domain Image Composition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.12493/) (2023)
- [Follow-Your-Emoji: Fine-Controllable and Expressive Freestyle Portrait Animation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.01900/) (2024)
- [Set Functions for Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.12064/) (2019)
- [Graph-Guided Network for Irregularly Sampled Multivariate Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.05357/) (2021)
- [Robust Watermarking Using Generative Priors Against Image Editing: From Benchmarking to Advances](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.18775/) (2024)
- [CALF: Aligning LLMs for Time Series Forecasting via Cross-modal Fine-Tuning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.07300/) (2024)
- [DUET: Dual Clustering Enhanced Multivariate Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.10859/) (2024)
- [Modeling Irregular Time Series with Continuous Recurrent Units](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.11344/) (2021)
- [Neural Flows: Efficient Alternative to Neural ODEs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.13040/) (2021)
- [Controllable Video Generation: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.16869/) (2025)
- [CATCH: Channel-Aware multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection via Frequency Patching](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.12261/) (2024)
- [Interpolation-Prediction Networks for Irregularly Sampled Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.07782/) (2019)
- [Follow-Your-Motion: Video Motion Transfer via Efficient Spatial-Temporal Decoupled Finetuning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.05207/) (2025)
- [FreDF: Learning to Forecast in the Frequency Domain](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.02399/) (2024)
- [ContiFormer: Continuous-Time Transformer for Irregular Time Series Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.10635/) (2024)
- [Set You Straight: Auto-Steering Denoising Trajectories to Sidestep Unwanted Concepts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.12782/) (2025)
- [TAB: Unified Benchmarking of Time Series Anomaly Detection Methods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.18046/) (2025)
- [Triformer: Triangular, Variable-Specific Attentions for Long Sequence Multivariate Time Series Forecasting--Full Version](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.13767/) (2022)
- [TSFM-Bench: A Comprehensive and Unified Benchmark of Foundation Models for Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.11802/) (2024)
- [A Comprehensive Survey of Deep Learning for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting: A Channel Strategy Perspective](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.10721/) (2025)
- [Warpformer: A Multi-scale Modeling Approach for Irregular Clinical Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.09368/) (2023)
- [Rethinking Irregular Time Series Forecasting: A Simple yet Effective Baseline](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.11250/) (2025)
- [ReAgent-V: A Reward-Driven Multi-Agent Framework for Video Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.01300/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 8 of 8)

- [Enhancing Time Series Forecasting through Selective Representation Spaces: A Patch Perspective](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.14510/) (2025)
- [TimeART: Towards Agentic Time Series Reasoning via Tool-Augmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.13653/) (2026)
- [DistDF: Time-Series Forecasting Needs Joint-Distribution Wasserstein Alignment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.24574/) (2025)
- [WPBench: A Comprehensive Benchmark for Wind Power Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.24444/) (2026)
- [A Cost-Effective Multimodal LLM Reasoning Framework for Question Answering over Irregular Clinical Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.25947/) (2026)
- [Deep Time-Series Forecasting in 10 Years: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.19899/) (2026)
- [BITS: Rethinking Fair and Comprehensive Evaluation for Irregular Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.33303/) (2026)
- [QiYao-I: A Manifold Based Foundation Model for Irregular Multivariate Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.06936/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Irregular multivariate time series (IMTS) are prevalent in critical domains like healthcare and finance, where accurate forecasting is vital for proactive decision-making. However, the asynchronous sampling and irregular intervals inherent to IMTS pose two core challenges for existing methods: (1) how to accurately represent the raw information of irregular time series without introducing data distortion, and (2) how to effectively capture the complex dynamic dependencies between observation points. To address these challenges, we propose the Adaptive Spatio-Temporal Graph Interaction (ASTGI) framework. Specifically, the framework first employs a Spatio-Temporal Point Representation module to encode each discrete observation as a point within a learnable spatio-temporal embedding space. Second, a Neighborhood-Adaptive Graph Construction module adaptively builds a causal graph for each point in the embedding space via nearest neighbor search. Subsequently, a Spatio-Temporal Dynamic Propagation module iteratively updates information on these adaptive causal graphs by generating messages and computing interaction weights based on the relative spatio-temporal positions between points. Finally, a Query Point-based Prediction module generates the final forecast by aggregating neighborhood information for a new query point and performing forecasting. Extensive experiments on multiple benchmark datasets demonstrate that ASTGI outperforms various state-of-the-art methods.