# Uncertainty in Semantic Language Modeling with PIXELS

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.19563 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.19563/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 21 of its 31 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 23 Sep 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 21 of 21)

- [BERT: Pre-training of Deep Bidirectional Transformers for Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.04805/) (2018)
- [Language Models are Few-Shot Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.14165/) (2020)
- [LLaMA: Open and Efficient Foundation Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.13971/) (2023)
- [On Calibration of Modern Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.04599/) (2017)
- [GLUE: A Multi-Task Benchmark and Analysis Platform for Natural Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1804.07461/) (2018)
- [Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02142/) (2015)
- [Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensembles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.01474/) (2016)
- [ALBERT: A Lite BERT for Self-supervised Learning of Language Representations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.11942/) (2019)
- [Aligning Books and Movies: Towards Story-like Visual Explanations by Watching Movies and Reading Books](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.06724/) (2015)
- [Can LLMs Express Their Uncertainty? An Empirical Evaluation of Confidence Elicitation in LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.13063/) (2023)
- [A Survey of Uncertainty in Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.03342/) (2021)
- [TyDi QA: A Benchmark for Information-Seeking Question Answering in Typologically Diverse Languages](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.05002/) (2020)
- [Beto, Bentz, Becas: The Surprising Cross-Lingual Effectiveness of BERT](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.09077/) (2019)
- [MasakhaNER: Named Entity Recognition for African Languages](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.11811/) (2021)
- [Uncertainty Quantification with Pre-trained Language Models: A Large-Scale Empirical Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.04714/) (2022)
- [Robust Open-Vocabulary Translation from Visual Text Representations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.08211/) (2021)
- [Addressing "Documentation Debt" in Machine Learning Research: A Retrospective Datasheet for BookCorpus](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.05241/) (2021)
- [Well-calibrated Model Uncertainty with Temperature Scaling for Dropout Variational Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.13550/) (2019)
- [An Image is Worth More Than 16x16 Patches: Exploring Transformers on Individual Pixels](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.09415/) (2024)
- [Glyph-aware Embedding of Chinese Characters](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1709.00028/) (2017)
- [Super Characters: A Conversion from Sentiment Classification to Image Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.07653/) (2018)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Pixel-based language models aim to solve the vocabulary bottleneck problem in language modeling, but the challenge of uncertainty quantification remains open. The novelty of this work consists of analysing uncertainty and confidence in pixel-based language models across 18 languages and 7 scripts, all part of 3 semantically challenging tasks. This is achieved through several methods such as Monte Carlo Dropout, Transformer Attention, and Ensemble Learning. The results suggest that pixel-based models underestimate uncertainty when reconstructing patches. The uncertainty is also influenced by the script, with Latin languages displaying lower uncertainty. The findings on ensemble learning show better performance when applying hyperparameter tuning during the named entity recognition and question-answering tasks across 16 languages.