# Beyond Marginals: Learning Joint Spatio-Temporal Patterns for Multivariate Anomaly Detection

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.15033 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.15033/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 15 of its 28 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 18 Sep 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 15 of 15)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [Detecting Spacecraft Anomalies Using LSTMs and Nonparametric Dynamic Thresholding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.04431/) (2018)
- [GANomaly: Semi-Supervised Anomaly Detection via Adversarial Training](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1805.06725/) (2018)
- [Anomaly Transformer: Time Series Anomaly Detection with Association Discrepancy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.02642/) (2021)
- [Graph Neural Network-Based Anomaly Detection in Multivariate Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.06947/) (2021)
- [TranAD: Deep Transformer Networks for Anomaly Detection in Multivariate Time Series Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.07284/) (2022)
- [A Deep Neural Network for Unsupervised Anomaly Detection and Diagnosis in Multivariate Time Series Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.08055/) (2018)
- [MAD-GAN: Multivariate Anomaly Detection for Time Series Data with Generative Adversarial Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1901.04997/) (2019)
- [Multivariate Time-series Anomaly Detection via Graph Attention Network](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.02040/) (2020)
- [High-Dimensional Multivariate Forecasting with Low-Rank Gaussian Copula Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.03002/) (2019)
- [Unsupervised Deep Anomaly Detection for Multi-Sensor Time-Series Signals](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.12626/) (2021)
- [TACTiS: Transformer-Attentional Copulas for Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.03528/) (2022)
- [AnomalyBERT: Self-Supervised Transformer for Time Series Anomaly Detection using Data Degradation Scheme](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.04468/) (2023)
- [Correlation-aware Spatial-Temporal Graph Learning for Multivariate Time-series Anomaly Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.08390/) (2023)
- [Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection via Dynamic Graph Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.02051/) (2023)

## Abstract (arXiv)

In this paper, we aim to improve multivariate anomaly detection (AD) by modeling the textittime-varying non-linear spatio-temporal correlations found in multivariate time series data . In multivariate time series data, an anomaly may be indicated by the simultaneous deviation of interrelated time series from their expected collective behavior, even when no individual time series exhibits a clearly abnormal pattern on its own. In many existing approaches, time series variables are assumed to be (conditionally) independent, which oversimplifies real-world interactions. Our approach addresses this by modeling joint dependencies in the latent space and decoupling the modeling of textitmarginal distributions, temporal dynamics, and inter-variable dependencies. We use a transformer encoder to capture temporal patterns, and to model spatial (inter-variable) dependencies, we fit a multi-variate likelihood and a copula. The temporal and the spatial components are trained jointly in a latent space using a self-supervised contrastive learning objective to learn meaningful feature representations to separate normal and anomaly samples.