# AttnBoost: Retail Supply Chain Sales Insights via Gradient Boosting Perspective

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.10506 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.10506/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 11 of its 35 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 1 Sep 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 11 of 11)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [BERT: Pre-training of Deep Bidirectional Transformers for Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.04805/) (2018)
- [RoBERTa: A Robustly Optimized BERT Pretraining Approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.11692/) (2019)
- [A Unified Approach to Interpreting Model Predictions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.07874/) (2017)
- [Learning Phrase Representations using RNN Encoder-Decoder for Statistical Machine Translation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1406.1078/) (2014)
- [TabNet: Attentive Interpretable Tabular Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.07442/) (2019)
- [Independently Recurrent Neural Network (IndRNN): Building A Longer and Deeper RNN](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.04831/) (2018)
- [Explaining the Explainer: A First Theoretical Analysis of LIME](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.03447/) (2020)
- [CINO: A Chinese Minority Pre-trained Language Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.13558/) (2022)
- [FT-Transformer: Resilient and Reliable Transformer with End-to-End Fault Tolerant Attention](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.02211/) (2025)
- [Modeling Insider Filing Delays in Financial Markets with an Interpretable XGBoost Framework](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.20162/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Forecasting product demand in retail supply chains presents a complex challenge due to noisy, heterogeneous features and rapidly shifting consumer behavior. While traditional gradient boosting decision trees (GBDT) offer strong predictive performance on structured data, they often lack adaptive mechanisms to identify and emphasize the most relevant features under changing conditions. In this work, we propose AttnBoost, an interpretable learning framework that integrates feature-level attention into the boosting process to enhance both predictive accuracy and explainability. Specifically, the model dynamically adjusts feature importance during each boosting round via a lightweight attention mechanism, allowing it to focus on high-impact variables such as promotions, pricing, and seasonal trends. We evaluate AttnBoost on a large-scale retail sales dataset and demonstrate that it outperforms standard machine learning and deep tabular models, while also providing actionable insights for supply chain managers. An ablation study confirms the utility of the attention module in mitigating overfitting and improving interpretability. Our results suggest that attention-guided boosting represents a promising direction for interpretable and scalable AI in real-world forecasting applications.