# Population-Scale Network Embeddings Expose Educational Divides in Network Structure Related to Right-Wing Populist Voting

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.21236 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.21236/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 16 of its 93 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 28 Aug 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 16 of 16)

- [Distributed Representations of Words and Phrases and their Compositionality](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1310.4546/) (2013)
- [Optuna: A Next-generation Hyperparameter Optimization Framework](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.10902/) (2019)
- [DeepWalk: Online Learning of Social Representations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1403.6652/) (2014)
- [Challenging Common Assumptions in the Unsupervised Learning of Disentangled Representations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.12359/) (2018)
- [Network Embedding as Matrix Factorization: Unifying DeepWalk, LINE, PTE, and node2vec](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.02971/) (2017)
- [Self-Supervised Representation Learning: Introduction, Advances and Challenges](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.09327/) (2021)
- [Network Representation Learning: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1801.05852/) (2017)
- [Using Embeddings to Correct for Unobserved Confounding in Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.04114/) (2019)
- [Using Sequences of Life-events to Predict Human Lives](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.03009/) (2023)
- [Principled Multilayer Network Embedding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1709.03551/) (2017)
- [A Comparative Study for Unsupervised Network Representation Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.07902/) (2019)
- [Multi-label Node Classification On Graph-Structured Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.10398/) (2023)
- [Using Embeddings for Causal Estimation of Peer Influence in Social Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.08033/) (2022)
- [Combining the Strengths of Dutch Survey and Register Data in a Data Challenge to Predict Fertility (PreFer)](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.00705/) (2024)
- [The Impact of School and Family Networks on COVID-19 Infections Among Dutch Students: A Study Using Population-Level Registry Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.08098/) (2024)
- [Unveiling the Social Fabric: A Temporal, Nation-Scale Social Network and its Characteristics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.11099/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Administrative registry data can be used to construct population-scale networks whose ties reflect shared social contexts between persons. With machine learning, such networks can be encoded into numerical representations -- embeddings -- that automatically capture an individual's position within the network. We created embeddings for all persons in the Dutch population from a population-scale network that represents five shared contexts: neighborhood, work, family, household, and school. To assess the informativeness of these embeddings, we used them to predict right-wing populist voting. Embeddings alone predicted right-wing populist voting above chance-level but performed worse than individual characteristics. Combining the best subset of embeddings with individual characteristics only slightly improved predictions. After transforming the embeddings to make their dimensions more sparse and orthogonal, we found that one embedding dimension was strongly associated with the outcome. Mapping this dimension back to the population network revealed that differences in educational ties and attainment corresponded to distinct network structures associated with right-wing populist voting. Our study contributes methodologically by demonstrating how population-scale network embeddings can be made interpretable, and substantively by linking structural network differences in education to right-wing populist voting.
